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Ligue 1
Referee: Johan Hamel
Lille
U T T U S
1–1
Full-time
Rennes
U S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lille Rennes
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,0
3,0
Scored
0,8
1,5
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,0
This season — Ligue 1 · 24/24 matches
Win Ø 29%
25%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 28%
17%
38%
Both score Ø 53%
42%
63%
Average goals
1,6
2,6
Scored
0,8
1,3
Conceded
0,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

46% Possession 54%
16 Shots 10
6 Shots on target 3
6 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
4 Corners 4
1 Offside 1
0 Free kicks against 0
3 Yellow cards 4
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lille 15. · Rennes 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 24 21 3 0 +50 66
2 Monaco 25 12 9 4 +8 45
3 Nice 25 11 6 8 +9 39
4 Angers 25 10 7 8 +2 37
5 Lyon 25 10 6 9 +7 36
6 Nantes 25 9 9 7 +1 36
7 St Etienne 24 11 3 10 -1 36
8 Caen 25 11 3 11 -5 36
9 Marseille 24 8 10 6 +10 34
10 Rennes 24 8 10 6 +2 34
11 Bordeaux 24 8 9 7 -2 33
12 Lorient 25 7 10 8 -2 31
13 Guingamp 25 8 7 10 -4 31
14 Bastia 25 9 4 12 -5 31
15 Lille 24 6 11 7 +0 29
16 Reims 25 7 8 10 -6 29
17 Gazelec FC Ajaccio 25 6 9 10 -9 27
18 Montpellier 25 7 5 13 -3 26
19 Toulouse 25 4 9 12 -17 21
20 Troyes 25 1 8 16 -35 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

18. Sep -15 Rennes – Lille 1–1

Match report

Lille Rennes
18′
🟨 Romain Danzé
23′
🟨 Pedro Mendes
1–0 Éder
S. Boufal
42′
Half-time 1–0
Y. Benzia 🔁
↦ Éder
46′
46′
🔁 G. Sio
↦ Mexer
59′
🔁 M. Zeffane
↦ R. Danzé
Sofiane Boufal 🟨
66′
Sofiane Boufal 🟨
71′
Sofiane Boufal 🟥
71′
76′
🟨 Cheikh M'Bengue
78′
🔁 J. Boga
↦ K. Grosicki
84′
🟨 Mehdi Zeffane
Adama Soumaoro 🟨
86′
89′
O. Dembèlé 1–1
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Lille

1 V. Enyeama G
5 R. Civelli D
2 S. Corchia D
19 D. Sidibé D
23 A. Soumaoro D
8 M. Obbadi M
24 R. Mavuba M
11 E. Bauthéac M
6 I. Amadou M
7 S. Boufal M
39 Éder F
Bench (7)
9 Y. Benzia
3 Y. Koné
4 F. Balmont
13 S. Sunzu
16 S. Elana
31 M. Amalfitano
32 Rony Lopes

Rennes

1 B. Costil
29 R. Danzé D
22 S. Armand D
4 Mexer D
5 Pedro Mendes D
3 C. M'Bengue D
6 G. Fernandes M
21 B. André M
10 K. Grosicki M
7 P. Ntep M
23 O. Dembèlé F
Bench (7)
13 G. Sio
2 M. Zeffane
17 J. Boga
11 J. Quintero
12 S. Moreira
14 F. Diagne
40 A. Diallo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Johan Hamel · 65 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,34 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.