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Ligue 1

Referee: Ruddy Buquet

Marseille

U S U U S

1–2

Full-time

Paris SG

S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Marseille Paris SG

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

33%

100%

Points per game

1,7

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

17%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

1,8

3,0

Scored

1,2

2,7

Conceded

0,7

0,3

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+2,3

This season — Ligue 1 · 24/24 matches

Win Ø 61%

33%

88%

Points per game

1,4

2,8

Over 2.5 Ø 46%

33%

58%

Both score Ø 50%

58%

42%

Average goals

2,4

3,0

Scored

1,4

2,5

Conceded

1,0

0,5

Goal diff per game

+0,4

+2,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

45% Possession 55%

18 Shots 11

7 Shots on target 3

3 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 5

6 Corners 2

4 Offside 1

0 Free kicks against 0

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Marseille 10. · Paris SG 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	24	21	3	0	+50	66
2	Monaco	25	12	9	4	+8	45
3	Nice	25	11	6	8	+9	39
4	St Etienne	25	12	3	10	+2	39
5	Angers	25	10	7	8	+2	37
6	Lyon	25	10	6	9	+7	36
7	Nantes	25	9	9	7	+1	36
8	Caen	25	11	3	11	-5	36
9	Rennes	25	8	11	6	+2	35
10	Marseille	24	8	10	6	+10	34
11	Bordeaux	25	8	9	8	-5	33
12	Lorient	25	7	10	8	-2	31
13	Guingamp	25	8	7	10	-4	31
14	Bastia	25	9	4	12	-5	31
15	Lille	25	6	12	7	+0	30
16	Reims	25	7	8	10	-6	29
17	Gazelec FC Ajaccio	25	6	9	10	-9	27
18	Montpellier	25	7	5	13	-3	26
19	Toulouse	25	4	9	12	-17	21
20	Troyes	25	1	8	16	-35	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	11	10	1	0	+29	31
2	Bastia	13	9	0	4	+9	27
3	Bordeaux	13	7	3	3	+6	24
4	Monaco	13	6	5	2	+6	23
5	St Etienne	12	7	2	3	+6	23
6	Nice	12	7	1	4	+7	22
7	Lyon	12	6	3	3	+10	21
8	Angers	13	5	6	2	+4	21
9	Lorient	13	5	5	3	+6	20
10	Guingamp	12	5	4	3	+6	19
11	Lille	13	5	4	4	+3	19
12	Nantes	12	5	4	3	+2	19
13	Caen	13	6	1	6	-6	19
14	Reims	13	4	5	4	+1	17
15	Gazelec FC Ajaccio	12	3	6	3	-2	15
16	Montpellier	13	5	0	8	-3	15
17	Rennes	12	3	5	4	-2	14
18	Marseille	12	2	7	3	+6	13
19	Toulouse	12	2	6	4	-1	12
20	Troyes	13	0	6	7	-11	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	13	11	2	0	+21	35
2	Monaco	12	6	4	2	+2	22
3	Rennes	13	5	6	2	+4	21
4	Marseille	12	6	3	3	+4	21
5	Nice	13	4	5	4	+2	17
6	Caen	12	5	2	5	+1	17
7	Nantes	13	4	5	4	-1	17
8	Angers	12	5	1	6	-2	16
9	St Etienne	13	5	1	7	-4	16
10	Lyon	13	4	3	6	-3	15
11	Gazelec FC Ajaccio	13	3	3	7	-7	12
12	Reims	12	3	3	6	-7	12
13	Guingamp	13	3	3	7	-10	12
14	Montpellier	12	2	5	5	+0	11
15	Lille	12	1	8	3	-3	11
16	Lorient	12	2	5	5	-8	11
17	Bordeaux	12	1	6	5	-11	9
18	Toulouse	13	2	3	8	-16	9
19	Troyes	12	1	2	9	-24	5
20	Bastia	12	0	4	8	-14	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.