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La Liga

Referee: Pedro Jesus Perez Montero

Real Madrid

S T S S U

5–0

Full-time

La Coruna

U U S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Real Madrid La Coruna

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,2

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

4,7

2,2

Scored

3,5

1,3

Conceded

1,2

0,8

Goal diff per game

+2,3

+0,5

This season — La Liga · 18/18 matches

Win Ø 47%

61%

33%

Points per game

2,1

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 53%

67%

39%

Both score Ø 56%

50%

61%

Average goals

3,6

2,4

Scored

2,6

1,4

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,6

+0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

53% Possession 47%

23 Shots 18

9 Shots on target 4

5 Blocked shots 5

4 Goalkeeper saves 4

5 Corners 9

3 Offside 2

0 Free kicks against 0

0 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Real Madrid 3. · La Coruna 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	18	13	3	2	+29	42
2	Ath Madrid	18	13	2	3	+17	41
3	Real Madrid	18	11	4	3	+29	37
4	Villarreal	18	11	3	4	+8	36
5	Celta	18	9	4	5	+3	31
6	Sevilla	19	8	5	6	+5	29
7	Ath Bilbao	19	8	4	7	+5	28
8	La Coruna	18	6	9	3	+8	27
9	Eibar	18	7	6	5	+6	27
10	Valencia	18	5	8	5	+6	23
11	Malaga	18	6	5	7	-1	23
12	Getafe	19	6	5	8	-6	23
13	Espanol	18	6	3	9	-12	21
14	Betis	19	5	5	9	-15	20
15	Sociedad	18	4	5	9	-7	17
16	Las Palmas	18	4	5	9	-8	17
17	Granada	19	4	5	10	-16	17
18	Sp Gijon	17	4	3	10	-11	15
19	Vallecano	18	4	3	11	-21	15
20	Levante	18	2	5	11	-19	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	10	9	1	0	+25	28
2	Sevilla	10	8	0	2	+11	24
3	Real Madrid	9	7	1	1	+20	22
4	Villarreal	9	7	1	1	+8	22
5	Ath Madrid	9	7	1	1	+7	22
6	Getafe	10	5	3	2	+8	18
7	Ath Bilbao	9	5	2	2	+8	17
8	Valencia	9	3	6	0	+7	15
9	Malaga	9	4	3	2	+5	15
10	Eibar	9	4	3	2	+3	15
11	Espanol	9	4	3	2	-2	15
12	Las Palmas	9	4	2	3	+3	14
13	Celta	9	4	2	3	+1	14
14	La Coruna	9	3	4	2	+5	13
15	Vallecano	10	3	2	5	-5	11
16	Sp Gijon	8	2	2	4	-3	8
17	Sociedad	8	2	2	4	-3	8
18	Granada	9	2	2	5	-8	8
19	Levante	9	1	3	5	-7	6
20	Betis	9	1	3	5	-9	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	9	6	1	2	+10	19
2	Celta	9	5	2	2	+2	17
3	Real Madrid	9	4	3	2	+9	15
4	Barcelona	8	4	2	2	+4	14
5	La Coruna	9	3	5	1	+3	14
6	Villarreal	9	4	2	3	+0	14
7	Betis	10	4	2	4	-6	14
8	Eibar	9	3	3	3	+3	12
9	Ath Bilbao	10	3	2	5	-3	11
10	Sociedad	10	2	3	5	-4	9
11	Granada	10	2	3	5	-8	9
12	Valencia	9	2	2	5	-1	8
13	Malaga	9	2	2	5	-6	8
14	Sp Gijon	9	2	1	6	-8	7
15	Espanol	9	2	0	7	-10	6
16	Sevilla	9	0	5	4	-6	5
17	Levante	9	1	2	6	-12	5
18	Getafe	9	1	2	6	-14	5
19	Vallecano	8	1	1	6	-16	4
20	Las Palmas	9	0	3	6	-11	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.