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La Liga

Referee: Alberto Undiano

Celta

S S U S

4–1

Full-time

Barcelona

S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Celta Barcelona

Last 6 — all competitions · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 88%

75%

100%

Points per game

2,5

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

100%

50%

Both score Ø 63%

75%

50%

Average goals

3,8

2,5

Scored

2,5

2,0

Conceded

1,3

0,5

Goal diff per game

+1,3

+1,5

This season — La Liga · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 88%

75%

100%

Points per game

2,5

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

100%

50%

Both score Ø 63%

75%

50%

Average goals

3,8

2,5

Scored

2,5

2,0

Conceded

1,3

0,5

Goal diff per game

+1,3

+1,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

43% Possession 57%

18 Shots 18

5 Shots on target 7

5 Blocked shots 3

6 Goalkeeper saves 1

5 Corners 10

7 Offside 0

0 Free kicks against 0

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Celta 5. · Barcelona 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	5	4	0	1	+7	12
2	Barcelona	4	4	0	0	+6	12
3	Real Madrid	4	3	1	0	+12	10
4	Villarreal	4	3	1	0	+6	10
5	Celta	4	3	1	0	+5	10
6	Espanol	5	3	0	2	-5	9
7	Eibar	4	2	1	1	+2	7
8	Valencia	5	1	3	1	+0	6
9	La Coruna	4	1	2	1	+1	5
10	Sociedad	5	1	2	2	+1	5
11	Sp Gijon	4	1	2	1	+0	5
12	Betis	4	1	2	1	-4	5
13	Vallecano	4	1	1	2	-4	4
14	Ath Bilbao	4	1	0	3	-3	3
15	Getafe	5	1	0	4	-5	3
16	Granada	5	1	0	4	-7	3
17	Las Palmas	4	0	2	2	-2	2
18	Malaga	4	0	2	2	-2	2
19	Levante	4	0	2	2	-4	2
20	Sevilla	4	0	2	2	-4	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	2	2	0	0	+6	6
2	Villarreal	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Barcelona	2	2	0	0	+4	6
4	Ath Madrid	3	2	0	1	+2	6
5	Espanol	3	2	0	1	-4	6
6	Celta	2	1	1	0	+3	4
7	Betis	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Ath Bilbao	2	1	0	1	+1	3
9	Eibar	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Getafe	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Valencia	2	0	2	0	+0	2
12	Malaga	2	0	2	0	+0	2
13	La Coruna	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Levante	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Sociedad	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Sp Gijon	2	0	1	1	-1	1
17	Las Palmas	2	0	1	1	-1	1
18	Vallecano	2	0	1	1	-2	1
19	Sevilla	2	0	0	2	-4	0
20	Granada	3	0	0	3	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Celta	2	2	0	0	+2	6
3	Barcelona	2	2	0	0	+2	6
4	Real Madrid	2	1	1	0	+6	4
5	Villarreal	2	1	1	0	+2	4
6	La Coruna	2	1	1	0	+2	4
7	Sociedad	3	1	1	1	+2	4
8	Eibar	2	1	1	0	+2	4
9	Sp Gijon	2	1	1	0	+1	4
10	Valencia	3	1	1	1	+0	4
11	Granada	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Espanol	2	1	0	1	-1	3
13	Vallecano	2	1	0	1	-2	3
14	Sevilla	2	0	2	0	+0	2
15	Las Palmas	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Levante	2	0	1	1	-3	1
17	Betis	2	0	1	1	-5	1
18	Malaga	2	0	0	2	-2	0
19	Ath Bilbao	2	0	0	2	-4	0
20	Getafe	3	0	0	3	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.