Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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The table before the match ▾
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Malmo FF
|
30 | 17 | 9 | 4 | +34 | 60 |
| 2 |
Elfsborg
|
30 | 12 | 15 | 3 | +11 | 51 |
| 3 |
Hacken
|
30 | 12 | 13 | 5 | +16 | 49 |
| 4 |
Djurgarden
|
30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | +15 | 48 |
| 5 |
Mjallby
|
30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | +4 | 47 |
| 6 |
Norrkoping
|
30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | +14 | 46 |
| 7 | Orebro | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | -4 | 42 |
| 8 |
Hammarby
|
30 | 10 | 11 | 9 | +0 | 41 |
| 9 |
AIK
|
30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | -3 | 39 |
| 10 |
Sirius
|
30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | -8 | 38 |
| 11 |
Varberg
|
30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | +1 | 37 |
| 12 |
Goteborg
|
30 | 7 | 13 | 10 | -6 | 34 |
| 13 | Ostersunds | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | -19 | 33 |
| 14 |
Kalmar
|
30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | -19 | 28 |
| 15 |
Helsingborg
|
30 | 5 | 11 | 14 | -15 | 26 |
| 16 | Falkenbergs | 30 | 5 | 9 | 16 | -21 | 24 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.