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Championship
Referee: O Langford
1–1
Full-time
Reading
T T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sheffield Weds Reading
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
1,0
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
0%
83%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
0,8
3,8
Scored
0,3
1,3
Conceded
0,5
2,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-1,2
This season — Championship · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 39%
21%
57%
Points per game
1,0
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 36%
14%
57%
Both score Ø 32%
21%
43%
Average goals
1,4
2,9
Scored
0,5
1,6
Conceded
0,9
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

22% Possession 78%
3 Shots 20
1 Shots on target 6
0 Blocked shots 5
5 Goalkeeper saves 0
2 Corners 7
0 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 0
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sheffield Weds 19. · Reading 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Norwich 14 8 4 2 +7 28
2 Bournemouth 15 7 6 2 +9 27
3 Bristol City 15 8 3 4 +4 27
4 Watford 14 7 5 2 +8 26
5 Reading 14 8 2 4 +5 26
6 Brentford 14 7 4 3 +9 25
7 Swansea 14 7 4 3 +7 25
8 Middlesbrough 15 6 6 3 +6 24
9 Stoke 14 6 4 4 +3 22
10 Blackburn 14 6 3 5 +11 21
11 Cardiff 15 5 5 5 +7 20
12 Millwall 14 4 8 2 +2 20
13 Barnsley 15 5 4 6 +0 19
14 Preston 15 6 1 8 -3 19
15 Luton 14 5 4 5 -6 19
16 Huddersfield 15 5 3 7 -4 18
17 QPR 15 4 5 6 -5 17
18 Birmingham 15 3 7 5 -3 16
19 Sheffield Weds 14 3 5 6 -5 14
20 Coventry 15 3 5 7 -10 14
21 Rotherham 15 3 4 8 -6 13
22 Nott'm Forest 14 3 3 8 -8 12
23 Wycombe 14 2 4 8 -13 10
24 Derby 15 1 5 9 -15 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sheffield Weds Reading
1–0 C. Paterson
A. Reach
12′
Liam Shaw 🟥
30′
44′
Lucas João 1–1
O. Ejaria
Half-time 1–1
D. Iorfa 🔁
↦ B. Bannan
46′
M. Odubajo 🔁
↦ L. Palmer
46′
J. Pelupessy 🔁
↦ J. van Aken
46′
Massimo Luongo 🟨
53′
Callum Paterson 🟨
59′
70′
🔁 S. Aluko
↦ A. Rinomhota
70′
🔁 Tomás Esteves
↦ T. Holmes
75′
🔁 S. Baldock
↦ M. Olise
E. Kachunga 🔁
↦ K. Harris
91′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Sheffield Weds

4-5-1
28 J. Wildsmith G
13 J. Börner D
15 T. Lees D
11 A. Reach M
5 C. Paterson F
4 J. van Aken D
10 B. Bannan M
2 L. Palmer D
7 K. Harris M
21 M. Luongo M
26 L. Shaw M
Bench (9)
27 D. Iorfa
22 M. Odubajo
8 J. Pelupessy
45 E. Kachunga
25 C. Dawson
20 J. Rhodes
14 M. Penney
17 F. Dele-Bashiru
24 I. Brown

Coach: T. Pulis

Reading

4-2-3-1
33 Rafael G
4 M. Morrison D
6 L. Moore D
3 O. Richards D
29 T. Holmes D
28 J. Laurent M
14 O. Ejaria M
30 Alfa Semedo M
8 A. Rinomhota M
7 M. Olise M
18 Lucas João F
Bench (9)
24 S. Aluko
2 Tomás Esteves
9 S. Baldock
34 D. Tetek
46 J. Onen
1 S. Walker
43 T. Watson
15 L. Gibson
5 T. Mcintyre

Coach: V. Paunovic

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,55
U ✓
3,08
B
2,95
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,42
U2,5 ✓
1,56
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

O Langford · 173 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.