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Championship

Referee: D Webb

Nott'm Forest

S S T T T

0–0

Full-time

Watford

S S U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nott'm Forest Watford

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,0

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

17%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

17%

67%

Average goals

1,8

3,0

Scored

0,7

1,8

Conceded

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,7

This season — Championship · 14/14 matches

Win Ø 36%

21%

50%

Points per game

0,9

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 22%

14%

29%

Both score Ø 43%

36%

50%

Average goals

1,9

2,1

Scored

0,6

1,4

Conceded

1,2

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,6

+0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

40% Possession 60%

13 Shots 6

0 Shots on target 1

6 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 0

5 Corners 6

1 Offside 1

14 Free kicks against 10

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Nott'm Forest 22. · Watford 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Norwich	14	8	4	2	+7	28
2	Bournemouth	15	7	6	2	+9	27
3	Bristol City	15	8	3	4	+4	27
4	Watford	14	7	5	2	+8	26
5	Reading	14	8	2	4	+5	26
6	Brentford	14	7	4	3	+9	25
7	Swansea	14	7	4	3	+7	25
8	Middlesbrough	15	6	6	3	+6	24
9	Stoke	14	6	4	4	+3	22
10	Blackburn	14	6	3	5	+11	21
11	Cardiff	15	5	5	5	+7	20
12	Millwall	14	4	8	2	+2	20
13	Barnsley	15	5	4	6	+0	19
14	Preston	15	6	1	8	-3	19
15	Luton	14	5	4	5	-6	19
16	Huddersfield	15	5	3	7	-4	18
17	QPR	15	4	5	6	-5	17
18	Birmingham	15	3	7	5	-3	16
19	Sheffield Weds	14	3	5	6	-5	14
20	Coventry	15	3	5	7	-10	14
21	Rotherham	15	3	4	8	-6	13
22	Nott'm Forest	14	3	3	8	-8	12
23	Wycombe	14	2	4	8	-13	10
24	Derby	15	1	5	9	-15	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Watford	7	6	1	0	+9	19
2	Middlesbrough	8	5	2	1	+7	17
3	Bournemouth	8	5	2	1	+6	17
4	Reading	7	5	0	2	+3	15
5	Swansea	7	4	2	1	+5	14
6	Norwich	7	3	3	1	+2	12
7	QPR	8	3	3	2	+1	12
8	Cardiff	8	3	2	3	+6	11
9	Blackburn	7	3	2	2	+5	11
10	Brentford	6	3	2	1	+4	11
11	Barnsley	7	3	2	2	+4	11
12	Bristol City	7	3	2	2	+1	11
13	Stoke	7	3	2	2	+0	11
14	Coventry	7	3	2	2	-3	11
15	Huddersfield	7	3	1	3	+0	10
16	Luton	7	2	3	2	-2	9
17	Rotherham	8	2	2	4	-1	8
18	Nott'm Forest	7	2	2	3	-1	8
19	Millwall	7	1	5	1	-1	8
20	Birmingham	8	2	2	4	-3	8
21	Sheffield Weds	7	1	4	2	-1	7
22	Wycombe	7	1	3	3	-3	6
23	Preston	7	1	0	6	-8	3
24	Derby	8	0	3	5	-10	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Preston	8	5	1	2	+5	16
2	Norwich	7	5	1	1	+5	16
3	Bristol City	8	5	1	2	+3	16
4	Brentford	8	4	2	2	+5	14
5	Millwall	7	3	3	1	+3	12
6	Stoke	7	3	2	2	+3	11
7	Reading	7	3	2	2	+2	11
8	Swansea	7	3	2	2	+2	11
9	Blackburn	7	3	1	3	+6	10
10	Bournemouth	7	2	4	1	+3	10
11	Luton	7	3	1	3	-4	10
12	Cardiff	7	2	3	2	+1	9
13	Birmingham	7	1	5	1	+0	8
14	Huddersfield	8	2	2	4	-4	8
15	Barnsley	8	2	2	4	-4	8
16	Middlesbrough	7	1	4	2	-1	7
17	Watford	7	1	4	2	-1	7
18	Sheffield Weds	7	2	1	4	-4	7
19	Rotherham	7	1	2	4	-5	5
20	Derby	7	1	2	4	-5	5
21	QPR	7	1	2	4	-6	5
22	Nott'm Forest	7	1	1	5	-7	4
23	Wycombe	7	1	1	5	-10	4
24	Coventry	8	0	3	5	-7	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.