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Championship
Referee: Stephen Martin
Hull
T S S T T
2–2
Full-time
QPR
T S T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hull QPR
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,8
2,3
Scored
1,5
0,7
Conceded
2,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-1,0
This season — Championship · 37/37 matches
Win Ø 35%
38%
32%
Points per game
1,4
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
51%
57%
Both score Ø 46%
46%
46%
Average goals
2,9
2,7
Scored
1,4
1,2
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

57% Possession 43%
14 Shots 16
6 Shots on target 5
5 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 4
3 Offside 3
12 Free kicks against 16
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hull 13. · QPR 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Norwich 37 22 9 6 +28 75
2 Sheffield United 38 22 8 8 +30 74
3 Leeds 36 20 7 9 +19 67
4 West Brom 35 17 9 9 +21 60
5 Middlesbrough 36 15 13 8 +12 58
6 Derby 34 15 11 8 +11 56
7 Bristol City 36 15 10 11 +7 55
8 Preston 37 14 12 11 +7 54
9 Nott'm Forest 37 13 14 10 +8 53
10 Sheffield Weds 37 13 13 11 -5 52
11 Aston Villa 34 12 14 8 +9 50
12 Birmingham 37 12 14 11 +5 50
13 Hull 37 14 8 15 -2 50
14 Brentford 36 13 10 13 +11 49
15 Swansea 36 13 8 15 -1 47
16 Blackburn 37 12 11 14 -6 47
17 Stoke 37 10 16 11 -5 46
18 QPR 37 12 7 18 -14 43
19 Millwall 37 9 10 18 -14 37
20 Reading 37 8 12 17 -16 36
21 Wigan 37 9 9 19 -19 36
22 Rotherham 37 7 15 15 -20 36
23 Bolton 37 7 8 22 -34 29
24 Ipswich 37 3 14 20 -32 23

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hull QPR
1–0 J. Bowen
K. Grosicki
7′
26′
🟨 Joel Lynch
Liam Ridgewell 🟨
28′
2–0 J. Bowen
K. Grosicki
44′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 B. Osayi-Samuel
↦ L. Freeman
52′
🟨 Geoff Cameron
56′
🔁 J. Scowen
↦ G. Cameron
62′
J. Scowen 2–1
P. Wszołek
72′
🟨 Paweł Wszołek
C. Martin 🔁
↦ F. Campbell
77′
79′
🔁 T. Hemed
↦ N. Wells
84′
T. Hemed 2–2
J. Scowen
Kevin Stewart 🟨
90′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Hull

4-4-1-1
1 D. Marshall G
36 L. Ridgewell D
23 S. Kingsley D
5 R. Burke D
27 R. McKenzie D
8 M. Pugh M
6 K. Stewart M
16 J. Irvine M
14 K. Grosicki M
25 F. Campbell F
20 J. Bowen M
Bench (7)
29 C. Martin
17 T. Kane
12 G. Long
7 Evandro
9 N. Dicko
2 E. Lichaj
11 M. Milinković

Coach: N. Adkins

QPR

4-4-1-1
13 J. Lumley G
5 G. Cameron M
33 J. Lynch D
3 J. Bidwell D
37 T. Leistner D
2 D. Furlong D
23 P. Wszołek M
21 M. Luongo M
10 E. Eze F
7 L. Freeman M
32 N. Wells F
Bench (7)
20 B. Osayi-Samuel
11 J. Scowen
16 T. Hemed
4 G. Hall
14 R. Manning
8 J. Cousins
1 M. Ingram

Coach: S. McClaren

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Stephen Martin · 60 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,07 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.