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Bundesliga

Referee: Harm Osmers

Nurnberg

T T T U T

0–0

Full-time

Dortmund

S S S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nurnberg Dortmund

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

0,2

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

2,3

3,5

Scored

0,5

2,2

Conceded

1,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

-1,3

+0,8

This season — Bundesliga · 21/21 matches

Win Ø 41%

10%

71%

Points per game

0,6

2,4

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

43%

71%

Both score Ø 60%

48%

71%

Average goals

3,0

3,7

Scored

0,8

2,6

Conceded

2,2

1,1

Goal diff per game

-1,4

+1,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

27% Possession 73%

7 Shots 17

2 Shots on target 6

2 Blocked shots 4

6 Goalkeeper saves 2

3 Corners 11

1 Offside 2

8 Free kicks against 9

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Nurnberg 18. · Dortmund 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Dortmund	21	15	5	1	+31	50
2	Bayern Munich	22	15	3	4	+24	48
3	M'gladbach	22	13	4	5	+20	43
4	RB Leipzig	22	12	5	5	+22	41
5	Leverkusen	22	11	3	8	+7	36
6	Wolfsburg	22	10	5	7	+5	35
7	Ein Frankfurt	22	9	7	6	+13	34
8	Hoffenheim	22	8	9	5	+12	33
9	Hertha	22	8	8	6	+3	32
10	Werder Bremen	22	8	7	7	+4	31
11	Mainz	22	7	6	9	-13	27
12	Fortuna Dusseldorf	22	7	4	11	-16	25
13	Freiburg	22	5	9	8	-8	24
14	Schalke 04	22	6	5	11	-7	23
15	Augsburg	22	4	6	12	-9	18
16	Stuttgart	22	4	3	15	-32	15
17	Hannover	22	3	5	14	-27	14
18	Nurnberg	21	2	6	13	-29	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Dortmund	11	9	2	0	+22	29
2	M'gladbach	10	9	0	1	+19	27
3	RB Leipzig	11	7	3	1	+17	24
4	Bayern Munich	10	6	3	1	+10	21
5	Leverkusen	11	6	1	4	+2	19
6	Ein Frankfurt	11	5	3	3	+10	18
7	Hoffenheim	12	4	5	3	+6	17
8	Hertha	11	4	5	2	+2	17
9	Werder Bremen	11	4	4	3	+3	16
10	Mainz	11	4	4	3	-2	16
11	Wolfsburg	11	4	3	4	-1	15
12	Fortuna Dusseldorf	11	5	0	6	-2	15
13	Freiburg	11	3	5	3	+0	14
14	Schalke 04	11	4	1	6	-3	13
15	Stuttgart	11	3	2	6	-12	11
16	Augsburg	11	2	4	5	+0	10
17	Nurnberg	11	2	4	5	-4	10
18	Hannover	11	3	1	7	-9	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	12	9	0	3	+14	27
2	Dortmund	10	6	3	1	+9	21
3	Wolfsburg	11	6	2	3	+6	20
4	Leverkusen	11	5	2	4	+5	17
5	RB Leipzig	11	5	2	4	+5	17
6	Hoffenheim	10	4	4	2	+6	16
7	Ein Frankfurt	11	4	4	3	+3	16
8	M'gladbach	12	4	4	4	+1	16
9	Hertha	11	4	3	4	+1	15
10	Werder Bremen	11	4	3	4	+1	15
11	Mainz	11	3	2	6	-11	11
12	Schalke 04	11	2	4	5	-4	10
13	Freiburg	11	2	4	5	-8	10
14	Fortuna Dusseldorf	11	2	4	5	-14	10
15	Augsburg	11	2	2	7	-9	8
16	Hannover	11	0	4	7	-18	4
17	Stuttgart	11	1	1	9	-20	4
18	Nurnberg	10	0	2	8	-25	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.