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Championship
Referee: Oliver Langford
Rotherham
U U S T S
1–2
Full-time
Norwich
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rotherham Norwich
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,5
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,3
3,8
Scored
1,7
2,5
Conceded
1,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,2
This season — Championship · 37/37 matches
Win Ø 39%
19%
59%
Points per game
1,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
49%
65%
Both score Ø 64%
62%
65%
Average goals
2,6
3,3
Scored
1,1
2,0
Conceded
1,6
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

38% Possession 62%
13 Shots 13
5 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 6
1 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 7
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Rotherham 22. · Norwich 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Norwich 37 22 9 6 +28 75
2 Sheffield United 38 22 8 8 +30 74
3 Leeds 36 20 7 9 +19 67
4 West Brom 35 17 9 9 +21 60
5 Middlesbrough 36 15 13 8 +12 58
6 Derby 34 15 11 8 +11 56
7 Bristol City 36 15 10 11 +7 55
8 Preston 37 14 12 11 +7 54
9 Nott'm Forest 37 13 14 10 +8 53
10 Sheffield Weds 37 13 13 11 -5 52
11 Aston Villa 34 12 14 8 +9 50
12 Birmingham 37 12 14 11 +5 50
13 Hull 37 14 8 15 -2 50
14 Brentford 36 13 10 13 +11 49
15 Swansea 36 13 8 15 -1 47
16 Blackburn 37 12 11 14 -6 47
17 Stoke 37 10 16 11 -5 46
18 QPR 37 12 7 18 -14 43
19 Millwall 37 9 10 18 -14 37
20 Reading 37 8 12 17 -16 36
21 Wigan 37 9 9 19 -19 36
22 Rotherham 37 7 15 15 -20 36
23 Bolton 37 7 8 22 -34 29
24 Ipswich 37 3 14 20 -32 23

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Rotherham Norwich
Michael Ihiekwe 🟨
17′
Billy Jones 🟨
29′
45′
K. McLean 0–1
T. Pukki
Half-time 1–1
1–1 S. Ajayi
B. Wiles
52′
57′
B. Godfrey 1–2
K. McLean
R. Towell 🔁
↦ M. Crooks
62′
J. Taylor 🔁
↦ A. Forde
62′
64′
🟨 Marco Stiepermann
J. Yates 🔁
↦ R. Wood
83′
88′
🟨 Max Aarons
90′
🔁 J. Rhodes
↦ T. Pukki
91′
🔁 T. Klose
↦ O. Hernández
92′
🔁 M. Vrančić
↦ E. Buendía
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Rotherham

4-1-4-1
1 M. Rodák G
6 R. Wood D
28 B. Jones D
5 S. Ajayi D
20 M. Ihiekwe D
2 Z. Vyner D
17 M. Crooks M
22 J. Newell M
7 A. Forde M
25 B. Wiles M
24 M. Smith F
Bench (6)
13 R. Towell
11 J. Taylor
21 J. Yates
8 M. Palmer
32 J. Kayode
12 L. Price

Coach: P. Warne

Norwich

4-2-3-1
1 T. Krul G
6 C. Zimmermann D
18 M. Stiepermann M
23 K. McLean M
25 O. Hernández M
19 T. Trybull M
4 B. Godfrey D
17 E. Buendía M
12 J. Lewis D
37 M. Aarons D
22 T. Pukki F
Bench (7)
8 M. Vrančić
15 T. Klose
11 J. Rhodes
31 G. Hanley
10 M. Leitner
36 T. Cantwell
33 M. McGovern

Coach: D. Farke

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Oliver Langford · 107 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
20,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.