Championship
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Rotherham
Norwich
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–1
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Norwich
|
37 | 22 | 9 | 6 | +28 | 75 |
| 2 |
Sheffield United
|
38 | 22 | 8 | 8 | +30 | 74 |
| 3 |
Leeds
|
36 | 20 | 7 | 9 | +19 | 67 |
| 4 |
West Brom
|
35 | 17 | 9 | 9 | +21 | 60 |
| 5 |
Middlesbrough
|
36 | 15 | 13 | 8 | +12 | 58 |
| 6 |
Derby
|
34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | +11 | 56 |
| 7 |
Bristol City
|
36 | 15 | 10 | 11 | +7 | 55 |
| 8 |
Preston
|
37 | 14 | 12 | 11 | +7 | 54 |
| 9 |
Nott'm Forest
|
37 | 13 | 14 | 10 | +8 | 53 |
| 10 |
Sheffield Weds
|
37 | 13 | 13 | 11 | -5 | 52 |
| 11 |
Aston Villa
|
34 | 12 | 14 | 8 | +9 | 50 |
| 12 |
Birmingham
|
37 | 12 | 14 | 11 | +5 | 50 |
| 13 |
Hull
|
37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | -2 | 50 |
| 14 |
Brentford
|
36 | 13 | 10 | 13 | +11 | 49 |
| 15 |
Swansea
|
36 | 13 | 8 | 15 | -1 | 47 |
| 16 |
Blackburn
|
37 | 12 | 11 | 14 | -6 | 47 |
| 17 |
Stoke
|
37 | 10 | 16 | 11 | -5 | 46 |
| 18 |
QPR
|
37 | 12 | 7 | 18 | -14 | 43 |
| 19 |
Millwall
|
37 | 9 | 10 | 18 | -14 | 37 |
| 20 |
Reading
|
37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | -16 | 36 |
| 21 |
Wigan
|
37 | 9 | 9 | 19 | -19 | 36 |
| 22 |
Rotherham
|
37 | 7 | 15 | 15 | -20 | 36 |
| 23 |
Bolton
|
37 | 7 | 8 | 22 | -34 | 29 |
| 24 |
Ipswich
|
37 | 3 | 14 | 20 | -32 | 23 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
S. Ajayi
D
Z. Vyner
D
M. Crooks
M
J. Newell
M
Coach: P. Warne
K. McLean
M
T. Trybull
M
B. Godfrey
D
E. Buendía
M
Coach: D. Farke
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
QPR
Rotherham
Sheffield United
Rotherham
Rotherham
Blackburn
Reading
Rotherham
Rotherham
Sheffield Weds
Oliver Langford · 107 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.