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Bundesliga

Referee: Benjamin Brand

Freiburg

U S S U U

2–1

Full-time

RB Leipzig

T U U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Freiburg RB Leipzig

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

2,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,2

3,5

Scored

1,8

1,7

Conceded

1,3

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,2

This season — Bundesliga · 18/18 matches

Win Ø 36%

22%

50%

Points per game

1,1

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 56%

50%

61%

Both score Ø 56%

50%

61%

Average goals

2,8

3,1

Scored

1,0

1,7

Conceded

1,8

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

40% Possession 60%

9 Shots 12

4 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

6 Corners 6

1 Offside 3

12 Free kicks against 13

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Freiburg 14. · RB Leipzig 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	18	14	2	2	+28	44
2	RB Leipzig	18	9	4	5	+4	31
3	Dortmund	19	8	6	5	+15	30
4	Schalke 04	18	8	6	4	+5	30
5	Leverkusen	18	7	7	4	+9	28
6	M'gladbach	18	8	4	6	-2	28
7	Augsburg	18	7	6	5	+5	27
8	Hoffenheim	18	7	6	5	+5	27
9	Ein Frankfurt	18	7	6	5	+2	27
10	Hannover	18	7	5	6	-1	26
11	Hertha	19	6	7	6	+0	25
12	Wolfsburg	18	3	11	4	+0	20
13	Stuttgart	18	6	2	10	-7	20
14	Freiburg	18	4	8	6	-14	20
15	Mainz	18	4	5	9	-10	17
16	Werder Bremen	18	3	7	8	-7	16
17	Hamburg	18	4	3	11	-11	15
18	FC Koln	18	2	3	13	-21	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	8	7	1	0	+19	22
2	RB Leipzig	9	6	2	1	+9	20
3	Stuttgart	9	6	1	2	+5	19
4	Hoffenheim	9	5	3	1	+8	18
5	Hannover	9	5	3	1	+7	18
6	Schalke 04	9	5	3	1	+6	18
7	M'gladbach	9	5	2	2	+2	17
8	Leverkusen	9	4	4	1	+7	16
9	Augsburg	10	4	4	2	+4	16
10	Hertha	10	4	3	3	+1	15
11	Dortmund	9	4	2	3	+9	14
12	Freiburg	9	3	5	1	+2	14
13	Mainz	9	4	1	4	-1	13
14	Wolfsburg	9	2	6	1	+2	12
15	Hamburg	9	3	2	4	-1	11
16	Ein Frankfurt	9	2	3	4	-2	9
17	Werder Bremen	9	2	3	4	-3	9
18	FC Koln	9	2	1	6	-8	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	10	7	1	2	+9	22
2	Ein Frankfurt	9	5	3	1	+4	18
3	Dortmund	10	4	4	2	+6	16
4	Leverkusen	9	3	3	3	+2	12
5	Schalke 04	9	3	3	3	-1	12
6	Augsburg	8	3	2	3	+1	11
7	M'gladbach	9	3	2	4	-4	11
8	RB Leipzig	9	3	2	4	-5	11
9	Hertha	9	2	4	3	-1	10
10	Hoffenheim	9	2	3	4	-3	9
11	Wolfsburg	9	1	5	3	-2	8
12	Hannover	9	2	2	5	-8	8
13	Werder Bremen	9	1	4	4	-4	7
14	Freiburg	9	1	3	5	-16	6
15	Mainz	9	0	4	5	-9	4
16	Hamburg	9	1	1	7	-10	4
17	FC Koln	9	0	2	7	-13	2
18	Stuttgart	9	0	1	8	-12	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.