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Bundesliga

Referee: Frank Willenborg

RB Leipzig

U S T U U

2–3

Full-time

Hertha

T S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

RB Leipzig Hertha

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,5

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

3,2

3,8

Scored

1,5

2,0

Conceded

1,7

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,2

This season — Bundesliga · 16/16 matches

Win Ø 41%

50%

31%

Points per game

1,8

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

56%

44%

Both score Ø 63%

56%

69%

Average goals

2,9

Scored

1,6

1,4

Conceded

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

75% Possession 25%

22 Shots 7

9 Shots on target 5

3 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 7

6 Corners 1

5 Offside 3

13 Free kicks against 11

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match RB Leipzig 5. · Hertha 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	17	13	2	2	+26	41
2	Schalke 04	17	8	6	3	+7	30
3	Dortmund	17	8	4	5	+15	28
4	Leverkusen	17	7	7	3	+11	28
5	RB Leipzig	16	8	4	4	+3	28
6	M'gladbach	17	8	4	5	-1	28
7	Hoffenheim	17	7	5	5	+5	26
8	Ein Frankfurt	17	7	5	5	+2	26
9	Augsburg	17	6	6	5	+4	24
10	Hannover	17	6	5	6	-2	23
11	Hertha	16	5	6	5	+0	21
12	Wolfsburg	17	3	10	4	+0	19
13	Freiburg	17	4	7	6	-14	19
14	Stuttgart	17	5	2	10	-8	17
15	Mainz	17	4	5	8	-9	17
16	Werder Bremen	17	3	6	8	-7	15
17	Hamburg	17	4	3	10	-10	15
18	FC Koln	17	1	3	13	-22	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	8	7	1	0	+19	22
2	Hoffenheim	9	5	3	1	+8	18
3	Schalke 04	9	5	3	1	+6	18
4	RB Leipzig	7	5	2	0	+8	17
5	M'gladbach	9	5	2	2	+2	17
6	Leverkusen	8	4	4	0	+9	16
7	Stuttgart	8	5	1	2	+4	16
8	Hannover	8	4	3	1	+6	15
9	Freiburg	9	3	5	1	+2	14
10	Hertha	9	4	2	3	+1	14
11	Dortmund	8	4	1	3	+9	13
12	Augsburg	9	3	4	2	+3	13
13	Mainz	9	4	1	4	-1	13
14	Wolfsburg	9	2	6	1	+2	12
15	Hamburg	9	3	2	4	-1	11
16	Ein Frankfurt	8	2	2	4	-2	8
17	Werder Bremen	8	2	2	4	-3	8
18	FC Koln	8	1	1	6	-9	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	9	6	1	2	+7	19
2	Ein Frankfurt	9	5	3	1	+4	18
3	Dortmund	9	4	3	2	+6	15
4	Leverkusen	9	3	3	3	+2	12
5	Schalke 04	8	3	3	2	+1	12
6	Augsburg	8	3	2	3	+1	11
7	M'gladbach	8	3	2	3	-3	11
8	RB Leipzig	9	3	2	4	-5	11
9	Hoffenheim	8	2	2	4	-3	8
10	Hannover	9	2	2	5	-8	8
11	Hertha	7	1	4	2	-1	7
12	Wolfsburg	8	1	4	3	-2	7
13	Werder Bremen	9	1	4	4	-4	7
14	Freiburg	8	1	2	5	-16	5
15	Mainz	8	0	4	4	-8	4
16	Hamburg	8	1	1	6	-9	4
17	FC Koln	9	0	2	7	-13	2
18	Stuttgart	9	0	1	8	-12	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.