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Eredivisie
Referee: Bernie Raymond Blom
Den Haag
S T S T U
4–1
Full-time
Heracles
T U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Den Haag Heracles
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,2
2,8
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,2
This season — Eredivisie · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 36%
36%
36%
Points per game
1,3
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
45%
82%
Both score Ø 64%
45%
82%
Average goals
2,4
3,2
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
1,4
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

47% Possession 53%
27 Shots 15
11 Shots on target 8
6 Blocked shots 2
7 Goalkeeper saves 7
9 Corners 8
0 Offside 3
4 Free kicks against 8
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Den Haag 11. · Heracles 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 11 10 0 1 +24 30
2 Ajax 12 8 1 3 +25 25
3 Zwolle 11 6 4 1 +7 22
4 AZ Alkmaar 11 7 1 3 +4 22
5 Feyenoord 12 5 4 3 +7 19
6 Vitesse 10 5 3 2 +10 18
7 Heerenveen 11 5 3 3 +0 18
8 Excelsior 11 5 2 4 +0 17
9 Heracles 11 4 3 4 -1 15
10 VVV Venlo 12 3 5 4 -4 14
11 Den Haag 11 4 2 5 -4 14
12 Utrecht 9 4 1 4 -6 13
13 Sparta Rotterdam 12 2 5 5 -9 11
14 Willem II 12 3 1 8 -12 10
15 Groningen 11 2 3 6 -5 9
16 Twente 12 3 0 9 -7 9
17 NAC Breda 12 2 3 7 -16 9
18 Roda 11 2 1 8 -13 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Den Haag Heracles
10′
R. Niemeijer 0–1
K. Peterson
1–1 M. Lorenzen
28′
Half-time 1–1
B. Johnsen 🔁
↦ E. Falkenburg
64′
73′
🟨 Tim Breukers
2–1 A. El Khayati
L. Immers
75′
E. Hooi 🔁
↦ M. Lorenzen
78′
79′
🔁 J. Navrátil
↦ T. Breukers
79′
🔁 V. Vermeij
↦ Jamiro
81′
🟨 Dries Wuytens
82′
🔁 L. Duarte
↦ D. Van den Buijs
3–1 B. Johnsen
L. Immers
83′
D. Gorter 🔁
↦ A. El Khayati
86′
4–1 E. Hooi
S. Becker
89′
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

Den Haag

4-3-3
22 R. Zwinkels G
8 A. Meijers D
3 T. Meißner D
5 W. Kanon D
2 T. Ebuehi D
30 E. Falkenburg F
10 L. Immers M
23 A. El Khayati M
17 D. Bakker M
7 S. Becker F
33 M. Lorenzen F
Bench (10)
9 B. Johnsen
77 E. Hooi
6 D. Gorter
1 I. Groothuizen
15 B. Kuipers
18 T. Coremans
19 S. Pinas
21 E. Duplan
27 T. David
28 M. van Kins

Coach: A. Groenendijk

Heracles

4-3-3
1 B. Castro G
2 T. Breukers D
3 D. Wuytens D
34 J. Hardeveld D
6 D. Van den Buijs D
14 J. Pelupessy M
35 Jamiro M
29 R. Niemeijer M
9 P. Gladon F
18 K. Peterson F
17 B. Kuwas F
Bench (9)
15 J. Navrátil
19 V. Vermeij
8 L. Duarte
5 B. van Hintum
20 P. van Ooijen
26 H. Zeinstra
27 N. Leemhuis
28 M. Brouwer
30 T. van de Berg

Coach: J. Stegeman

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Bernie Raymond Blom · 43 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,6 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.