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Bundesliga
Referee: Felix Zwayer
Werder Bremen
T U T U S
4–1
Full-time
Hannover
T T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Werder Bremen Hannover
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
1,0
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
83%
17%
Average goals
4,2
2,2
Scored
1,8
0,3
Conceded
2,3
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-1,5
This season — Bundesliga · 24/24 matches
Win Ø 23%
25%
21%
Points per game
1,0
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
67%
58%
Both score Ø 59%
71%
46%
Average goals
3,3
2,6
Scored
1,3
0,9
Conceded
2,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

45% Possession 55%
14 Shots 15
5 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 4
2 Offside 1
0 Free kicks against 0
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Werder Bremen 15. · Hannover 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 24 20 2 2 +46 62
2 Dortmund 24 18 3 3 +34 57
3 Hertha 24 12 6 6 +9 42
4 M'gladbach 24 12 3 9 +9 39
5 Mainz 24 12 3 9 +4 39
6 Schalke 04 24 11 5 8 +3 38
7 Leverkusen 24 10 5 9 +3 35
8 Wolfsburg 24 9 7 8 +5 34
9 FC Ingolstadt 04 24 8 7 9 -7 31
10 FC Koln 24 7 9 8 -5 30
11 Hamburg 24 7 7 10 -6 28
12 Stuttgart 24 8 4 12 -13 28
13 Augsburg 24 6 7 11 -8 25
14 Darmstadt 24 6 7 11 -13 25
15 Werder Bremen 24 6 6 12 -16 24
16 Ein Frankfurt 24 5 8 11 -12 23
17 Hoffenheim 24 4 9 11 -12 21
18 Hannover 24 5 2 17 -21 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Werder Bremen Hannover
1–0 F. Bartels
18′
2–0 C. Pizarro
L. Öztunali
26′
36′
🔁 Á. Szalai
↦ H. Yamaguchi
38′
🟨 Kenan Karaman
40′
🟨 Ceyhun Gülselam
45′
K. Karaman 2–1
Half-time 3–1
3–1 T. Gebre Selassie
C. Pizarro
56′
4–1 Z. Junuzović
T. Gebre Selassie
67′
Clemens Fritz 🟨
69′
M. Veljkovic 🔁
↦ C. Fritz
72′
81′
🔁 F. Klaus
↦ I. Fossum
M. Lorenzen 🔁
↦ L. Öztunali
82′
Zlatko Junuzović 🟨
85′
U. Garcia 🔁
↦ S. García
86′
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

Werder Bremen

42 F. Wiedwald G
23 T. Gebre Selassie D
3 P. Djilobodji D
2 S. García D
7 J. Vestergaard D
8 C. Fritz M
16 Z. Junuzović M
22 F. Bartels F
11 L. Öztunali F
14 C. Pizarro F
27 F. Grillitsch M
Bench (7)
13 M. Veljkovic
28 M. Lorenzen
20 U. Garcia
4 Gálvez
6 L. Kleinheisler
18 G. Tremmel
21 A. Ujah

Hannover

1 R. Zieler G
19 C. Schulz D
4 H. Sakai D
29 O. Sorg D
24 A. Milosevic D
5 S. Sané D
10 H. Kiyotake M
6 C. Gülselam M
16 H. Yamaguchi M
26 K. Karaman F
18 I. Fossum M
Bench (7)
28 Á. Szalai
11 F. Klaus
7 E. Prib
8 M. Schmiedebach
13 P. Tschauner
15 A. Hoffmann
21 M. Wolf

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Felix Zwayer · 92 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.