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Serie A
Referee: Luca Banti
Torino
U T T S U
1–1
Full-time
Chievo
U S T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Torino Chievo
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,8
3,0
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
1,7
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,7
This season — Serie A · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,4
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
67%
58%
Both score Ø 63%
58%
67%
Average goals
3,0
2,8
Scored
1,4
1,2
Conceded
1,6
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

59% Possession 41%
19 Shots 12
4 Shots on target 4
7 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 1
1 Offside 5
9 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Torino 8. · Chievo 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Napoli 13 11 2 0 +25 35
2 Juventus 12 10 1 1 +24 31
3 Roma 12 10 0 2 +15 30
4 Inter 12 9 3 0 +14 30
5 Lazio 12 9 1 2 +18 28
6 Sampdoria 11 7 2 2 +11 23
7 Milan 13 6 1 6 +1 19
8 Torino 12 4 5 3 -2 17
9 Fiorentina 12 5 1 6 +4 16
10 Atalanta 12 4 4 4 +3 16
11 Chievo 12 4 4 4 -5 16
12 Bologna 12 4 2 6 -4 14
13 Udinese 11 4 0 7 -4 12
14 Cagliari 12 4 0 8 -10 12
15 Crotone 13 3 3 7 -13 12
16 Genoa 13 2 3 8 -8 9
17 Spal 12 2 3 7 -10 9
18 Sassuolo 12 2 2 8 -15 8
19 Verona 12 1 3 8 -18 6
20 Benevento 12 0 0 12 -26 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.