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Bundesliga
Referee: Deniz Aytekin
Schalke 04
S T U S U
1–1
Full-time
Hoffenheim
S T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Schalke 04 Hoffenheim
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
1,8
2,7
Scored
1,0
1,8
Conceded
0,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+1,0
This season — Bundesliga · 21/21 matches
Win Ø 38%
33%
43%
Points per game
1,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
38%
57%
Both score Ø 55%
48%
62%
Average goals
2,2
2,8
Scored
1,2
1,8
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

40% Possession 60%
7 Shots 14
2 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
6 Corners 3
2 Offside 2
20 Free kicks against 13
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Schalke 04 13. · Hoffenheim 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 22 16 5 1 +41 53
2 RB Leipzig 22 15 3 4 +19 48
3 Dortmund 22 11 7 4 +23 40
4 Hoffenheim 21 9 10 2 +17 37
5 Hertha 22 11 4 7 +6 37
6 Ein Frankfurt 22 10 5 7 +3 35
7 FC Koln 22 8 9 5 +9 33
8 Leverkusen 22 9 3 10 +2 30
9 Freiburg 22 9 3 10 -11 30
10 M'gladbach 22 8 5 9 -4 29
11 Mainz 22 8 4 10 -6 28
12 Augsburg 22 7 6 9 -7 27
13 Schalke 04 21 7 5 9 +3 26
14 Wolfsburg 22 6 4 12 -13 22
15 Werder Bremen 22 6 4 12 -15 22
16 Hamburg 22 5 5 12 -24 20
17 FC Ingolstadt 04 22 5 3 14 -15 18
18 Darmstadt 22 3 3 16 -28 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Schalke 04 Hoffenheim
1–0 A. Schöpf
G. Burgstaller
5′
Half-time 1–0
M. Meyer 🔁
↦ D. Caligiuri
57′
60′
🔁 P. Schwegler
↦ E. Bičakčić
63′
🔁 Á. Szalai
↦ N. Amiri
67′
🟨 Niklas Süle
69′
🟨 Benjamin Hübner
70′
🔁 A. Kramarić
↦ M. Terrazzino
79′
S. Rudy 1–1
S. Zuber
D. Aogo 🔁
↦ S. Kolašinac
82′
E. Choupo-Moting 🔁
↦ G. Burgstaller
84′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Schalke 04

3-4-2-1
1 R. Fährmann G
4 B. Höwedes D
24 H. Badstuber D
31 M. Nastasić D
6 S. Kolašinac D
18 D. Caligiuri M
17 B. Stambouli D
8 L. Goretzka M
10 N. Bentaleb M
21 A. Schöpf M
19 G. Burgstaller F
Bench (7)
7 M. Meyer
15 D. Aogo
13 E. Choupo-Moting
5 J. Geis
20 T. Kehrer
25 K. Huntelaar
35 A. Nübel

Coach: M. Weinzierl

Hoffenheim

3-1-4-2
1 O. Baumann G
21 B. Hübner D
4 E. Bičakčić D
25 N. Süle D
6 S. Rudy M
17 S. Zuber M
22 K. Vogt D
13 K. Demirbay M
18 N. Amiri M
14 S. Wagner F
23 M. Terrazzino M
Bench (7)
16 P. Schwegler
28 Á. Szalai
27 A. Kramarić
8 E. Polanski
12 Danilo Soares
30 P. Ochs
33 A. Stolz

Coach: J. Nagelsmann

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Deniz Aytekin · 80 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
20,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.