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Championship
Referee: England Darren
Nott'm Forest
T S U T U
1–1
Full-time
West Brom
U S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nott'm Forest West Brom
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,7
2,0
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,0
This season — Championship · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
1,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
0%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
2,0
3,0
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
1,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

58% Possession 42%
20 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 2
9 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
7 Corners 6
2 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Nott'm Forest 16. · West Brom 19. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Brentford 1 1 0 0 +4 3
2 Leeds 1 1 0 0 +2 3
3 Aston Villa 1 1 0 0 +2 3
4 Wigan 1 1 0 0 +1 3
5 Swansea 1 1 0 0 +1 3
6 Bolton 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Derby 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Preston 1 1 0 0 +1 3
9 Ipswich 1 0 1 0 +0 1
10 Blackburn 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 Birmingham 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Norwich 1 0 1 0 +0 1
13 Millwall 1 0 1 0 +0 1
14 Middlesbrough 1 0 1 0 +0 1
15 Bristol City 1 0 1 0 +0 1
16 Nott'm Forest 1 0 1 0 +0 1
17 Sheffield Weds 1 0 0 1 -1 0
18 Sheffield United 1 0 0 1 -1 0
19 West Brom 1 0 0 1 -1 0
20 Reading 1 0 0 1 -1 0
21 QPR 1 0 0 1 -1 0
22 Stoke 1 0 0 1 -2 0
23 Hull 1 0 0 1 -2 0
24 Rotherham 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Nott'm Forest West Brom
36′
🟨 Kyle Bartley
Half-time 0–0
Jack Colback 🟨
54′
1–0 A. Guédioura ⚽
L. Grabban
59′
61′
🔁 D. Gayle
↦ J. Morrison
Diogo Gonçalves 🔁
↦ Gil Dias
78′
E. Soudani 🔁
↦ João Carvalho
85′
87′
⚽ M. Phillips 1–1
K. Gibbs
Adlène Guédioura 🟨
90′
93′
🔁 H. Robson-Kanu
↦ J. Rodriguez
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Nott'm Forest

4-2-3-1
1 C. Pantilimon G
4 D. Fox D
27 T. Darikwa D
3 Tobias Figueiredo D
6 J. Colback M
5 A. Guédioura M
11 B. Osborn M
10 João Carvalho M
7 L. Grabban F
23 J. Lolley M
31 Gil Dias M
Bench (7)
19 Diogo Gonçalves
2 E. Soudani
8 B. Watson
9 D. Murphy
18 J. Robinson
20 M. Dawson
12 J. Smith

Coach: Karanka

West Brom

4-4-1-1
1 S. Johnstone G
3 K. Gibbs D
26 Ahmed Hegazi D
5 K. Bartley D
24 T. Adarabioyo D
7 J. Morrison M
11 C. Brunt M
10 M. Phillips M
8 J. Livermore M
15 H. Barnes F
19 J. Rodriguez F
Bench (7)
16 D. Gayle
4 H. Robson-Kanu
13 G. Myhill
14 C. Townsend
17 O. Burke
18 G. Barry
34 R. Harper

Coach: D. Moore

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

England Darren · 52 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,6 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.