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Championship
Referee: Andy Davies
Nott'm Forest
U U U T T
0–1
Full-time
Brentford
T U U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nott'm Forest Brentford
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
17%
17%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
1,2
1,8
Scored
0,3
0,8
Conceded
0,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,2
This season — Championship · 40/41 matches
Win Ø 36%
33%
39%
Points per game
1,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 43%
45%
41%
Both score Ø 45%
43%
46%
Average goals
2,5
2,5
Scored
1,1
1,4
Conceded
1,5
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

48% Possession 52%
16 Shots 11
2 Shots on target 2
6 Blocked shots 5
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 8
1 Offside 0
11 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Nott'm Forest 17. · Brentford 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Wolves 41 27 8 6 +38 89
2 Cardiff 40 24 8 8 +28 80
3 Fulham 38 21 11 6 +30 74
4 Derby 38 18 13 7 +23 67
5 Aston Villa 38 19 9 10 +23 66
6 Middlesbrough 39 19 8 12 +20 65
7 Millwall 41 17 14 10 +13 65
8 Bristol City 41 16 14 11 +9 62
9 Sheffield United 41 18 8 15 +7 62
10 Brentford 41 16 13 12 +10 61
11 Preston 41 15 15 11 +6 60
12 Norwich 41 14 13 14 -6 55
13 Leeds 41 15 9 17 -4 54
14 Ipswich 41 15 8 18 -3 53
15 QPR 41 13 11 17 -12 50
16 Sheffield Weds 41 11 14 16 -7 47
17 Nott'm Forest 40 13 7 20 -15 46
18 Hull 41 10 14 17 -2 44
19 Reading 41 10 12 19 -14 42
20 Birmingham 41 11 7 23 -27 40
21 Bolton 41 9 12 20 -28 39
22 Barnsley 40 8 13 19 -18 37
23 Sunderland 41 6 14 21 -29 32
24 Burton Albion 41 7 11 23 -42 32

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Nott'm Forest Brentford
Half-time 0–0
Adlène Guédioura 🟨
52′
Tendayi Darikwa 🟨
55′
66′
🔁 E. Marcondes
↦ Sergi Canós
67′
🔁 C. Ogbene
↦ O. Watkins
M. Cash 🔁
↦ L. Tomlin
76′
78′
🔁 K. Mokotjo
↦ N. Yennaris
81′
H. Dalsgaard 0–1
J. McEachran
A. Vellios 🔁
↦ A. Guédioura
83′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Nott'm Forest

4-3-3
1 C. Pantilimon G
13 D. Fox D
27 T. Darikwa D
3 Tobias Figueiredo D
32 B. Watson M
18 J. Colback M
5 A. Guédioura M
11 B. Osborn M
15 L. Tomlin M
23 J. Lolley M
17 B. Brereton F
Bench (7)
14 M. Cash
39 A. Vellios
2 E. Lichaj
4 M. Mancienne
7 L. Bridcutt
10 B. McKay
33 S. Kapino

Coach: Karanka

Brentford

4-2-3-1
1 D. Bentley G
5 A. Bjelland D
22 H. Dalsgaard D
14 J. Egan D
19 R. Sawyers M
10 J. McEachran M
8 N. Yennaris M
20 J. Clarke D
47 Sergi Canós M
9 N. Maupay F
11 O. Watkins M
Bench (7)
17 E. Marcondes
24 C. Ogbene
12 K. Mokotjo
4 L. MacLeod
28 L. Daniels
29 Y. Barbet
33 C. Mepham

Coach: D. Smith

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Andy Davies · 87 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.