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Premier League
Referee: Martin Atkinson
Liverpool
S S T S S
1–1
Full-time
Leicester
S T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Liverpool Leicester
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
83%
50%
Points per game
2,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,8
2,7
Scored
2,8
1,3
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,8
+0,0
This season — Premier League · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 61%
83%
39%
Points per game
2,6
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
57%
43%
Both score Ø 50%
43%
57%
Average goals
2,9
2,5
Scored
2,3
1,3
Conceded
0,6
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,8
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

72% Possession 28%
10 Shots 5
3 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 1
4 Offside 3
13 Free kicks against 6
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Liverpool 1. · Leicester 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Liverpool 23 19 3 1 +41 60
2 Man City 24 18 2 4 +44 56
3 Tottenham 23 17 0 6 +25 51
4 Arsenal 24 14 5 5 +17 47
5 Chelsea 24 14 5 5 +17 47
6 Man United 24 13 6 5 +13 45
7 Wolves 24 10 5 9 -1 35
8 Everton 24 9 6 9 +2 33
9 Watford 23 9 6 8 +0 33
10 Bournemouth 24 10 3 11 -5 33
11 Leicester 23 9 4 10 +0 31
12 West Ham 24 9 4 11 -7 31
13 Brighton 24 7 5 12 -9 26
14 Newcastle 24 6 6 12 -11 24
15 Crystal Palace 24 6 5 13 -9 23
16 Southampton 24 5 8 11 -15 23
17 Burnley 24 6 5 13 -20 23
18 Cardiff 24 5 4 15 -26 19
19 Fulham 24 4 5 15 -28 17
20 Huddersfield 24 2 5 17 -28 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Liverpool Leicester
1–0 S. Mané
3′
Joël Matip 🟨
16′
41′
🟨 Harry Maguire
Half-time 1–1
47′
H. Maguire 1–1
B. Chilwell
50′
🟨 Ricardo Pereira
A. Lallana 🔁
↦ N. Keïta
66′
Fabinho 🔁
↦ X. Shaqiri
67′
75′
🔁 H. Choudhury
↦ J. Maddison
D. Sturridge 🔁
↦ Roberto Firmino
82′
84′
🔁 S. Okazaki
↦ D. Gray
90′
🟨 Ben Chilwell
90′
🔁 K. Iheanacho
↦ J. Vardy
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Liverpool

4-2-3-1
13 Alisson G
32 J. Matip D
4 V. van Dijk D
26 A. Robertson D
5 G. Wijnaldum M
14 J. Henderson D
8 N. Keïta M
23 X. Shaqiri M
9 Roberto Firmino M
11 Mohamed Salah F
10 S. Mané M
Bench (7)
20 A. Lallana
3 Fabinho
15 D. Sturridge
6 D. Lovren
22 S. Mignolet
27 D. Origi
64 Rafael Camacho

Coach: J. Klopp

Leicester

4-4-1-1
1 K. Schmeichel G
6 J. Evans D
15 H. Maguire D
14 Ricardo Pereira D
3 B. Chilwell D
11 M. Albrighton F
24 N. Mendy M
25 W. Ndidi M
7 D. Gray M
10 J. Maddison M
9 J. Vardy F
Bench (7)
38 H. Choudhury
20 S. Okazaki
8 K. Iheanacho
2 D. Simpson
5 W. Morgan
12 D. Ward
19 H. Barnes

Coach: C. Puel

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Martin Atkinson · 149 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
17,5 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.