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Premier League

Referee: Robert Madley

Bournemouth

U T T S T

4–3

Full-time

Liverpool

S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bournemouth Liverpool

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,2

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,8

3,0

Scored

1,5

2,3

Conceded

1,3

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+1,7

This season — Premier League · 13/13 matches

Win Ø 50%

31%

69%

Points per game

1,2

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

46%

62%

Both score Ø 58%

46%

69%

Average goals

2,6

3,5

Scored

1,2

2,5

Conceded

1,5

1,1

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+1,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

39% Possession 61%

12 Shots 10

8 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 2

0 Goalkeeper saves 4

4 Corners 9

1 Offside 1

9 Free kicks against 17

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Bournemouth 12. · Liverpool 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Chelsea	14	11	1	2	+21	34
2	Arsenal	14	9	4	1	+19	31
3	Liverpool	13	9	3	1	+18	30
4	Man City	14	9	3	2	+15	30
5	Tottenham	14	7	6	1	+14	27
6	West Brom	14	5	5	4	+3	20
7	Man United	13	5	5	3	+3	20
8	Everton	13	5	4	4	+1	19
9	Stoke	14	5	4	5	-3	19
10	Watford	14	5	3	6	-6	18
11	Southampton	14	4	5	5	-2	17
12	Bournemouth	13	4	3	6	-4	15
13	Crystal Palace	14	4	2	8	-2	14
14	Burnley	14	4	2	8	-11	14
15	Leicester	14	3	4	7	-7	13
16	Middlesbrough	13	2	6	5	-3	12
17	West Ham	14	3	3	8	-14	12
18	Sunderland	14	3	2	9	-10	11
19	Hull	13	3	2	8	-17	11
20	Swansea	14	2	3	9	-15	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Chelsea	7	6	0	1	+16	18
2	Tottenham	7	5	2	0	+10	17
3	Liverpool	6	5	1	0	+15	16
4	Arsenal	7	4	2	1	+6	14
5	Burnley	8	4	1	3	+3	13
6	Man City	7	3	3	1	+5	12
7	Leicester	7	3	3	1	+5	12
8	Everton	6	3	3	0	+5	12
9	Southampton	7	3	3	1	+2	12
10	West Brom	7	3	2	2	+3	11
11	Bournemouth	6	3	1	2	+4	10
12	Man United	7	2	4	1	+4	10
13	Watford	7	3	1	3	+0	10
14	Stoke	7	3	1	3	-2	10
15	West Ham	7	2	2	3	-7	8
16	Crystal Palace	7	2	1	4	+1	7
17	Sunderland	7	2	1	4	-4	7
18	Hull	7	2	1	4	-6	7
19	Swansea	7	1	2	4	-6	5
20	Middlesbrough	6	1	1	4	-2	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man City	7	6	0	1	+10	18
2	Arsenal	7	5	2	0	+13	17
3	Chelsea	7	5	1	1	+5	16
4	Liverpool	7	4	2	1	+3	14
5	Tottenham	7	2	4	1	+4	10
6	Man United	6	3	1	2	-1	10
7	West Brom	7	2	3	2	+0	9
8	Stoke	7	2	3	2	-1	9
9	Middlesbrough	7	1	5	1	-1	8
10	Watford	7	2	2	3	-6	8
11	Crystal Palace	7	2	1	4	-3	7
12	Everton	7	2	1	4	-4	7
13	Southampton	7	1	2	4	-4	5
14	Bournemouth	7	1	2	4	-8	5
15	Sunderland	7	1	1	5	-6	4
16	West Ham	7	1	1	5	-7	4
17	Swansea	7	1	1	5	-9	4
18	Hull	6	1	1	4	-11	4
19	Leicester	7	0	1	6	-12	1
20	Burnley	6	0	1	5	-14	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.