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Premier League
Referee: Jonathan Moss
Watford
T U T S T
2–0
Full-time
Brighton
U U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Watford Brighton
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
1,7
2,7
Scored
0,5
0,8
Conceded
1,2
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

53% Possession 47%
19 Shots 6
5 Shots on target 0
5 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 3
8 Corners 2
0 Offside 3
10 Free kicks against 16
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

23. Dec -17 Brighton – Watford 1–0 26. Aug -17 Watford – Brighton 0–0

Match report

Watford Brighton
18′
🟨 Dale Stephens
26′
🔁 G. Bong
↦ Bruno Saltor
1–0 R. Pereyra ⚽
J. Holebas
35′
Half-time 2–0
2–0 R. Pereyra ⚽
J. Holebas
54′
60′
🔁 Y. Bissouma
↦ P. Groß
Étienne Capoue 🟨
64′
71′
🔁 A. Jahanbakhsh
↦ S. March
José Holebas 🟨
73′
I. Success 🔁
↦ A. Gray
74′
81′
🟨 Bernardo
K. Sema 🔁
↦ W. Hughes
81′
Kiko Femenía 🔁
↦ R. Pereyra
87′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Watford

4-2-2-2
26 B. Foster G
25 J. Holebas D
15 C. Cathcart D
27 C. Kabasele D
2 D. Janmaat D
29 E. Capoue M
37 R. Pereyra M
16 A. Doucouré M
19 W. Hughes M
9 T. Deeney F
18 A. Gray F
Bench (7)
10 I. Success
12 K. Sema
21 Kiko Femenía
1 Gomes
5 S. Prödl
6 A. Mariappa
11 A. Masina

Coach: Javi Gracia

Brighton

4-4-1-1
1 M. Ryan G
2 Bruno Saltor D
4 S. Duffy D
5 L. Dunk D
30 Bernardo D
6 D. Stephens M
13 P. Groß F
24 D. Pröpper M
11 A. Knockaert M
20 S. March M
17 G. Murray F
Bench (7)
3 G. Bong
8 Y. Bissouma
16 A. Jahanbakhsh
7 B. Kayal
9 J. Locadia
14 L. Balogun
27 D. Button

Coach: C. Hughton

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Jonathan Moss · 145 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
18,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.