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Premier League
Referee: Michael Oliver
Everton
T T S U T
4–0
Full-time
West Ham
T U T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Everton West Ham
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
0,8
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
4,2
3,0
Scored
1,5
0,8
Conceded
2,7
2,2
Goal diff per game
-1,2
-1,3
This season — Premier League · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 19%
23%
15%
Points per game
0,9
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
54%
54%
Both score Ø 50%
54%
46%
Average goals
3,2
2,9
Scored
1,0
0,9
Conceded
2,2
2,0
Goal diff per game
-1,2
-1,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

43% Possession 57%
8 Shots 7
5 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 6
2 Offside 1
16 Free kicks against 6
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Everton 17. · West Ham 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Man City 13 12 1 0 +34 37
2 Man United 14 10 2 2 +24 32
3 Chelsea 14 9 2 3 +14 29
4 Arsenal 14 9 1 4 +12 28
5 Burnley 14 7 4 3 +3 25
6 Tottenham 14 7 3 4 +10 24
7 Liverpool 13 6 5 2 +7 23
8 Watford 14 6 3 5 -1 21
9 Leicester 14 4 5 5 -1 17
10 Brighton 14 4 5 5 -1 17
11 Southampton 13 4 4 5 -2 16
12 Newcastle 14 4 3 7 -6 15
13 Huddersfield 14 4 3 7 -15 15
14 Bournemouth 14 4 2 8 -4 14
15 Stoke 13 3 4 6 -10 13
16 West Brom 14 2 6 6 -9 12
17 Everton 13 3 3 7 -15 12
18 West Ham 13 2 4 7 -14 10
19 Swansea 14 2 3 9 -9 9
20 Crystal Palace 14 2 3 9 -17 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Everton West Ham
1–0 W. Rooney
18′
26′
🟨 Pablo Zabaleta
2–0 W. Rooney
J. Kenny
28′
Gylfi Sigurðsson 🟨
35′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 D. Sakho
↦ Pedro Obiang
Tom Davies 🟨
53′
62′
🔁 M. Antonio
↦ M. Arnautović
3–0 W. Rooney
66′
77′
🔁 D. Rice
↦ W. Reid
4–0 A. Williams
G. Sigurðsson
78′
B. Baningime 🔁
↦ W. Rooney
85′
A. Lookman 🔁
↦ A. Lennon
89′
N. Vlašić 🔁
↦ D. Calvert-Lewin
91′
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

Everton

4-1-4-1
1 J. Pickford G
5 A. Williams D
15 R. Martina D
43 J. Kenny D
30 M. Holgate D
12 A. Lennon M
18 G. Sigurðsson M
17 I. Gueye M
26 T. Davies M
10 W. Rooney M
29 D. Calvert-Lewin F
Bench (7)
54 B. Baningime
31 A. Lookman
27 N. Vlašić
2 M. Schneiderlin
9 Sandro Ramírez
21 M. Bešić
33 Joel Robles

Coach: D. Unsworth

West Ham

4-1-4-1
25 J. Hart G
5 P. Zabaleta D
21 A. Ogbonna D
2 W. Reid D
3 A. Cresswell D
26 A. Masuaku M
8 C. Kouyaté M
14 Pedro Obiang M
10 M. Lanzini M
20 A. Ayew F
7 M. Arnautović M
Bench (7)
15 D. Sakho
30 M. Antonio
41 D. Rice
13 Adrián
16 M. Noble
29 Toni Martínez
31 E. Fernandes

Coach: D. Moyes

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Michael Oliver · 163 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
18,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.