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Premier League
Referee: Anthony Taylor
Chelsea
S U T U U
2–1
Full-time
West Ham
S S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Chelsea West Ham
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
67%
100%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
3,5
4,0
Scored
1,7
2,2
Conceded
1,8
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

61% Possession 39%
16 Shots 7
6 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
7 Corners 1
1 Offside 1
16 Free kicks against 16
5 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Man United 1 1 0 0 +2 3
2 Liverpool 1 1 0 0 +1 3
3 Man City 1 1 0 0 +1 3
4 Hull 1 1 0 0 +1 3
5 Swansea 1 1 0 0 +1 3
6 West Brom 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Southampton 1 0 1 0 +0 1
8 Watford 1 0 1 0 +0 1
9 Everton 1 0 1 0 +0 1
10 Tottenham 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 Middlesbrough 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Stoke 1 0 1 0 +0 1
13 Arsenal 1 0 0 1 -1 0
14 Sunderland 1 0 0 1 -1 0
15 Leicester 1 0 0 1 -1 0
16 Burnley 1 0 0 1 -1 0
17 Crystal Palace 1 0 0 1 -1 0
18 Bournemouth 1 0 0 1 -2 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Chelsea West Ham
N'Golo Kanté 🟨
3′
Diego Costa 🟨
19′
21′
🟨 James Collins
35′
🔁 G. Töre
↦ A. Ayew
Half-time 0–0
46′
🟨 Michail Antonio
1–0 E. Hazard
47′
52′
🔁 S. Byram
↦ M. Antonio
67′
🔁 D. Payet
↦ H. Nordtveit
César Azpilicueta 🟨
75′
77′
J. Collins 1–1
Pedro 🔁
↦ Willian
80′
V. Moses 🔁
↦ E. Hazard
85′
M. Batshuayi 🔁
↦ Oscar
85′
2–1 Diego Costa
M. Batshuayi
89′
Pedro 🟨
90′
Nemanja Matić 🟨
90′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Chelsea

4-1-4-1
13 T. Courtois G
26 J. Terry D
24 G. Cahill D
2 B. Ivanović D
28 Azpilicueta D
22 Willian M
21 N. Matić M
10 E. Hazard M
8 Oscar M
7 N. Kanté M
19 Diego Costa F
Bench (7)
11 Pedro
15 V. Moses
23 M. Batshuayi
1 A. Begović
4 Fàbregas
14 R. Loftus-Cheek
34 O. Aina

Coach: A. Conte

West Ham

4-3-3
13 Adrián G
19 J. Collins D
2 W. Reid D
26 A. Masuaku D
16 M. Noble M
4 H. Nordtveit M
8 C. Kouyaté M
30 M. Antonio D
9 A. Carroll F
20 A. Ayew F
11 E. Valencia F
Bench (7)
17 G. Töre
22 S. Byram
27 D. Payet
1 D. Randolph
14 Pedro Obiang
21 A. Ogbonna
35 R. Oxford

Coach: S. Bilić

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Anthony Taylor · 162 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
18,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.