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OBOS-ligaen
Notodden
U T S U T
2–0
Full-time
Kongsvinger
T S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Notodden Kongsvinger
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,7
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
1,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,0
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 34%
23%
45%
Points per game
0,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
59%
36%
Both score Ø 48%
59%
36%
Average goals
3,0
2,3
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
1,8
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,6
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Notodden 13. · Kongsvinger 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Aalesund 22 18 3 1 +32 57
2 Start 22 14 4 4 +16 46
3 Sandefjord 22 13 7 2 +14 46
4 KFUM Oslo 22 11 6 5 +15 39
5 Sogndal 22 10 4 8 +8 34
6 Kongsvinger 22 10 4 8 +1 34
7 Raufoss 22 11 1 10 -3 34
8 Nest-Sotra 22 9 6 7 +8 33
9 Sandnes ULF 23 8 5 10 +1 29
10 Jerv 22 7 8 7 -6 29
11 Ham-Kam 22 7 5 10 -4 26
12 Ull/Kisa 22 7 4 11 -2 25
13 Notodden 22 5 3 14 -13 18
14 Strommen 22 3 9 10 -14 18
15 Skeid 22 3 7 12 -13 16
16 Tromsdalen Uil 23 2 2 19 -40 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Notodden Kongsvinger
1–0 A. Bakke
28′
Half-time 1–0
58′
🟨 V. Jalasto
A. Sankoh 🟨
64′
70′
🔁 Marlinho
↦ S. Marklund
70′
🔁 M. Aanesland
↦ S. Ibrahim
S. Hansen 🔁
↦ K. Tøsse
71′
E. Midtgarden 🔁
↦ A. Bakke
82′
82′
🔁 Lee Gyuwhan
↦ H. Holter
E. Midtgarden 🟨
83′
2–0 M. Brekke
87′
Filipe Ferreira 🔁
↦ M. Holmen
90′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Notodden

12 E. Vasby
2 E. Johansen
6 M. Ledger
14 M. Olsen
11 M. Holmen
20 A. Sankoh
8 H. Gustavsen
21 K. Tøsse
33 M. Tagbajumi
9 M. Brekke
22 A. Bakke
Bench (7)
25 S. Hansen
10 E. Midtgarden
17 Filipe Ferreira
15 E. Hagen
18 J. Robson
24 M. Langset
30 B. Grøtterud

Coach: K. Dokken

Kongsvinger

30 A. Ahamada
3 E. Skagestad
18 I. Mafi
2 F. Pålerud
5 C. Røer
27 L. N'Guémo
16 H. Holter
11 S. Marklund
23 M. Vinjor
9 A. Güven
26 S. Ibrahim
Bench (7)
15 Marlinho
14 M. Aanesland
7 Lee Gyuwhan
6 V. Jalasto
8 Dongwan Gang
12 S. Bolstad
19 M. Lundal

Coach: Vítor Gazimba

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.