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OBOS-ligaen
5–0
Full-time
Jerv
U T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kongsvinger Jerv
Last 6 — all competitions · 3/5 matches
Win Ø 27%
33%
20%
Points per game
1,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 70%
100%
40%
Both score Ø 74%
67%
80%
Average goals
4,0
2,6
Scored
1,7
1,0
Conceded
2,3
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,6
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
100%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
4,0
2,3
Scored
1,7
1,0
Conceded
2,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Kongsvinger 10. · Jerv 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Levanger 3 3 0 0 +4 9
2 Sandnes ULF 4 2 2 0 +7 8
3 Asane 3 2 0 1 +4 6
4 Ranheim 3 2 0 1 +1 6
5 Kristiansund 3 2 0 1 +1 6
6 Bryne 4 1 2 1 -1 5
7 Raufoss 3 1 1 1 +3 4
8 Sandefjord 3 1 1 1 +2 4
9 Jerv 3 1 1 1 -1 4
10 Kongsvinger 3 1 1 1 -2 4
11 Mjondalen 4 1 1 2 -6 4
12 hodd 3 0 2 1 -1 2
13 Ull/Kisa 3 0 2 1 -2 2
14 KFUM Oslo 3 0 2 1 -2 2
15 Strommen 3 0 2 1 -3 2
16 Fredrikstad 4 0 1 3 -4 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Kongsvinger Jerv
1–0 A. Güven
8′
20′
🔁 S. Christensen
↦ J. Edvardsen
2–0 M. Moldskred
21′
3–0 Maikel
39′
Half-time 3–0
A. Ovlien 🔁
↦ F. Pålerud
46′
Ø. Røyrane 🔁
↦ M. Ellingsen
46′
4–0 Ø. Røyrane
48′
58′
🔁 T. Collett
↦ M. Fuseini
I. Sotiroglou 🔁
↦ M. Moldskred
60′
65′
🔁 C. Myhre
↦ U. Berglann
5–0 I. Sotiroglou
76′
Full-time 5–0

Line-ups

Kongsvinger

1 O. Fredrikson
10 E. Nystuen
3 J. Richardsen
15 K. Suslov
2 F. Pålerud
6 J. Wennberg
8 M. Ellingsen
16 H. Holter
9 A. Güven
18 M. Moldskred
11 Maikel
Bench (7)
4 A. Ovlien
20 Ø. Røyrane
19 I. Sotiroglou
5 C. Røer
7 E. Dadjo
17 M. Gjerstrøm
23 Dani Mederos

Jerv

1 Ø. Knutsen
2 G. Andersen
4 E. Knudsen
11 J. Jenssen
3 D. Corovic
19 K. Tønnesen
89 T. Brochmann
16 J. Edvardsen
17 M. Fuseini
7 U. Berglann
33 D. Antwi
Bench (7)
12 S. Christensen
6 T. Collett
10 C. Myhre
8 C. MacConnacher
20 J. Toft
25 M. Ogungbaro
69 A. Lind

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.