Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Fredrikstad
Strommen
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Kristiansund
|
25 | 17 | 3 | 5 | +17 | 54 |
| 2 |
Sandefjord
|
25 | 14 | 5 | 6 | +12 | 47 |
| 3 |
Jerv
|
23 | 12 | 6 | 5 | +12 | 42 |
| 4 |
Sandnes ULF
|
24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | +17 | 41 |
| 5 |
Kongsvinger
|
23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | +13 | 41 |
| 6 |
Mjondalen
|
24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | +8 | 38 |
| 7 |
Strommen
|
24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | +2 | 38 |
| 8 |
Levanger
|
25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | +1 | 35 |
| 9 |
Asane
|
25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | -1 | 31 |
| 10 |
hodd
|
25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | -13 | 29 |
| 11 |
Ull/Kisa
|
25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | +2 | 28 |
| 12 |
Fredrikstad
|
24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | -6 | 28 |
| 13 |
Ranheim
|
25 | 8 | 4 | 13 | -12 | 28 |
| 14 |
KFUM Oslo
|
25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | -12 | 23 |
| 15 |
Bryne
|
25 | 4 | 8 | 13 | -20 | 20 |
| 16 |
Raufoss
|
25 | 5 | 3 | 17 | -20 | 18 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
hodd
Fredrikstad
Fredrikstad
Jerv
Fredrikstad
Asane
KFUM Oslo
Fredrikstad
Fredrikstad
Ull/Kisa
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.