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OBOS-ligaen
Sandefjord
U S U S U
2–1
Full-time
Fredrikstad
U S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sandefjord Fredrikstad
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
2,0
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
67%
100%
Both score Ø 84%
67%
100%
Average goals
3,0
4,2
Scored
2,0
2,7
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+1,2
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 44%
56%
32%
Points per game
1,9
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
64%
60%
Both score Ø 58%
56%
60%
Average goals
3,0
2,6
Scored
1,7
1,2
Conceded
1,2
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Sandefjord 2. · Fredrikstad 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Kristiansund 26 17 3 6 +15 54
2 Sandefjord 25 14 5 6 +12 47
3 Jerv 24 13 6 5 +14 45
4 Sandnes ULF 25 13 5 7 +20 44
5 Kongsvinger 24 12 5 7 +12 41
6 Mjondalen 25 11 8 6 +10 41
7 Strommen 26 11 8 7 +2 41
8 Levanger 26 11 5 10 +2 38
9 Asane 26 8 7 11 -3 31
10 Fredrikstad 25 8 7 10 -5 31
11 Ranheim 26 9 4 13 -10 31
12 hodd 26 8 5 13 -15 29
13 Ull/Kisa 26 7 7 12 +1 28
14 KFUM Oslo 26 5 8 13 -14 23
15 Bryne 26 5 8 13 -18 23
16 Raufoss 26 5 3 18 -23 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sandefjord Fredrikstad
24′
L. Begby 0–1
Half-time 1–1
1–1 P. Kovács
58′
1–2 E. Tønne
own goal
72′
Pau Morer 🔁
↦ Enric Vallés
73′
75′
🔁 F. Westgård
↦ P. Karoliussen
75′
🔁 M. N'Diaye
↦ L. Begby
A. Seck 🔁
↦ A. Sødlund
83′
88′
🔁 M. Jensen
↦ B. Wembangomo
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Sandefjord

1 I. Jónsson
18 K. Berge
4 V. Bindia
27 C. Hansen
14 K. Larsen
15 Enric Vallés
9 H. Storbæk
25 W. Kurtovic
22 A. Sødlund
10 P. Kovács
19 K. Sellin
Bench (7)
6 Pau Morer
3 A. Seck
12 A. Gundersen
20 V. Støvland
21 H. Lorentzen
29 E. Offenberg
34 S. Shamohammad

Coach: L. Bohinen

Fredrikstad

30 P. Kristiansen
4 A. Straith
23 E. Tønne
22 A. Akinyemi
17 B. Wembangomo
11 K. Brix
6 P. Karoliussen
20 H. Åsheim
14 U. Flo
10 S. Kapidzic
18 L. Begby
Bench (7)
16 F. Westgård
28 M. N'Diaye
26 M. Jensen
1 H. Jensen
3 N. Sansara
7 B. Rahhaoui
21 M. Benmoussa

Coach: M. Mjelde

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.