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Conference League
Referee: Dalibor Cerny
Valur Reykjavik
U T S S U
1–2
Full-time
Kauno Žalgiris
T T S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valur Reykjavik Kauno Žalgiris
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,8
2,3
Scored
1,8
1,2
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,0
This season — Conference League · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,7
2,3
Scored
2,0
1,7
Conceded
0,7
0,7
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Recent head-to-head meetings

24. Jul -25 Kauno Žalgiris – Valur Reykjavik 1–1

Match report

Valur Reykjavik Kauno Žalgiris
38′
⚽ T. Chogadze 0–1
D. Pavlovic
Albin Skoglund 🟨
39′
1–1 O. Omarsson ⚽
T. Haraldsson
45′
Half-time 1–1
49′
🟨 Tomas Švedkauskas
51′
⚽ A. Benchaib 1–2
Kristinn Freyr Sigurðsson 🟨
53′
V. Armanavicius 🔁
↦ D. Pavlovic
64′
R. Jansonas 🔁
↦ D. Georgijevic
64′
70′
🔁 A. Johannsson
↦ K. Sigurdsson
70′
🔁 A. Palsson
↦ A. Skoglund
F. Cernych 🔁
↦ T. Chogadze
75′
84′
🔁 A. Hoti
↦ J. Jonsson
84′
🔁 B. Jonsson
↦ J. Palsson
Adam Pálsson 🟨
90′
R. Lekiatas 🔁
↦ G. Sirgedas
92′
E. Burdzilauskas 🔁
↦ A. Benchaib
92′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Valur Reykjavik

4-3-3
55 T. Svedkauskas
21 H. Bah-Traore
3 A. Tolordava
23 A. Hernandez
37 N. Iyobosa Edokpolor
10 G. Sirgedas
6 D. Pavlovic
70 F. Ourega
7 A. Benchaib
9 T. Chogadze
77 D. Georgijevic
Bench (12)
22 D. Mikelionis
35 J. Miksiunas
2 T. Burdzilauskas
5 D. Kerkez
8 V. Armanavicius
11 F. Cernych
19 R. Jansonas
20 R. Lekiatas
28 E. Burdzilauskas
30 N. Vosylius
66 E. Jurjonas
79 V. Paulauskas

Coach: Srdjan Tufegdzic

Kauno Žalgiris

18 F. Schram
20 O. Omarsson
15 H. Eyjolfsson
6 B. Antonsson
21 J. Palsson
8 J. Jonsson
17 L. Heimisson
10 K. Sigurdsson
12 T. Haraldsson
14 A. Skoglund
9 P. Pedersen
Bench (10)
25 S. Agustsson
95 S. Johannesson
4 M. Nakkim
7 A. Johannsson
11 S. Larusson
19 O. Kjartansson
23 A. Palsson
30 M. Kjeld
33 A. Hoti
97 B. Jonsson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.