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Conference League
Referee: Oscar Johnson
Flora Tallinn
U S U T T
1–2
Full-time
Valur Reykjavik
U S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Flora Tallinn Valur Reykjavik
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/5 matches
Win Ø 29%
17%
40%
Points per game
0,8
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 74%
67%
80%
Both score Ø 54%
67%
40%
Average goals
3,0
3,2
Scored
1,3
2,0
Conceded
1,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,8
This season — Conference League · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
3,0
3,0
Scored
0,0
3,0
Conceded
3,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
-3,0
+3,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Recent head-to-head meetings

10. Jul -25 Valur Reykjavik – Flora Tallinn 3–0

Match report

Flora Tallinn Valur Reykjavik
23′
🟨 Kristinn Freyr Sigurðsson
Markus Poom 🟨
27′
29′
⚽ T. Haraldsson 0–1
1–1 R. Sappinen ⚽
M. Poom
41′
42′
🟨 Orri Sigurður Ómarsson
Half-time 1–1
Sander Tovstik 🟨
65′
A. Skoglund 🔁
↦ K. Sigurdsson
67′
L. Heimisson 🔁
↦ T. Haraldsson
67′
67′
🔁 D. Kuraksin
↦ N. Mihhailov
67′
🔁 M. Lepik
↦ A. Kaares
Rauno Sappinen 🟨
71′
O. Kjartansson 🔁
↦ A. Palsson
76′
J. Palsson 🔁
↦ S. Larusson
76′
79′
🔁 M. Lukka
↦ S. Tovstik
S. Agustsson 🔁
↦ F. Schram
82′
90′
⚽ J. Jonsson 1–2
91′
🟨 Lúkas Logi Heimisson
96′
🔁 S. Alamaa
↦ S. Zenjov
96′
🔁 M. Kalimullin
↦ T. Teevali
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Flora Tallinn

18 F. Schram
20 O. Omarsson
15 H. Eyjolfsson
4 M. Nakkim
11 S. Larusson
8 J. Jonsson
2 T. Magnusson
6 B. Antonsson
23 A. Palsson
10 K. Sigurdsson
12 T. Haraldsson
Bench (11)
25 S. Agustsson
95 S. Johannesson
9 P. Pedersen
14 A. Skoglund
16 S. Stefansson
17 L. Heimisson
19 O. Kjartansson
21 J. Palsson
30 M. Kjeld
33 A. Hoti
97 B. Jonsson

Valur Reykjavik

4-4-1-1
33 E. Grunvald
26 K. Hussar
23 M. Kolobov
16 E. Tougjas
28 S. Tovstik
13 N. Mihhailov
30 T. Teevali
10 M. Poom
20 S. Zenjov
11 R. Sappinen
21 A. Kaares
Bench (12)
99 K. Kivila
2 N. Kalmokov
4 M. Lukka
5 A. Vaher
6 R. Veering
7 D. Kuraksin
17 G. Roivassepp
18 R. Valdmets
22 M. Lepik
29 S. Alamaa
78 M. Kukk
89 M. Kalimullin

Coach: Srdjan Tufegdzic

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Oscar Johnson · 34 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.