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Conference League
Referee: Elcin Masiyev
Celje
U U T S T
1–0
Full-time
Baník Ostrava
S U T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Celje Baník Ostrava
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
4,5
3,0
Scored
2,5
1,5
Conceded
2,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
5,5
4,5
Scored
3,5
2,5
Conceded
2,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match report

Celje Baník Ostrava
0–1 M. Chalus ⚽
own goal
8′
Mario Kvesić 🟨
11′
D. Hrka 🔁
↦ M. Zabukovnik
29′
Half-time 0–1
Matej Poplatnik 🟨
46′
46′
🔁 S. Plavsic
↦ M. Kohut
46′
🔁 A. Munksgaard
↦ M. Chalus
46′
🔁 D. Holzer
↦ P. Kpozo
50′
🟨 Patrick Kpozo
60′
🟨 Alexander Munksgaard
67′
🔁 M. Rusnak
↦ M. Sin
F. Jevsenak 🔁
↦ M. Avdyli
68′
75′
🟨 Karel Pojezný
A. Chidi 🔁
↦ M. Poplatnik
79′
88′
🔁 L. Almasi
↦ E. Prekop
Zan Luk Leban 🟨
93′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Celje

3-4-3
1 Z. Leban G
2 Juanjo Nieto D
3 D. Vuklisevic D
6 A. Tutyskinas D
11 M. Avdyli M
19 M. Zabukovnik M
23 Z. Karnicnik D
8 M. Kvesic M
20 N. Iosifov M
99 M. Poplatnik
10 D. Sturm M
Bench (10)
12 L. Kolar
4 D. Hrka
5 G. Vodeb
7 F. Jevsenak
9 F. Kovacevic
13 P. Daniel
14 A. Chidi
16 I. Vidovic
42 M. Boben
44 L. Bejger

Coach: Albert Riera Ortega

Baník Ostrava

3-4-2-1
30 D. Holec G
17 M. Frydrych D
37 M. Chalus D
6 K. Pojezny D
9 D. Buchta M
5 J. Boula M
12 T. Rigo M
15 P. Kpozo D
10 M. Sin M
21 M. Kohut M
33 E. Prekop F
Bench (12)
1 V. Budinsky
4 C. Tiehi
8 C. Frydek
11 D. Latal
19 D. Lischka
20 S. Plavsic
22 T. Zlatohlavek
25 D. Owusu
31 A. Munksgaard
66 M. Rusnak
77 L. Almasi
95 D. Holzer

Coach: Pavel Hapal

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.