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Conference League
Referee: Ricardo De Burgos Bengoetxea
Fiorentina
T S S S U
3–2
Full-time
Polessya
T S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fiorentina Polessya
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 92%
83%
100%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,7
3,3
Scored
2,2
1,7
Conceded
1,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 1/5 matches
Win Ø 70%
100%
40%
Points per game
3,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 30%
0%
60%
Average goals
3,0
3,4
Scored
3,0
1,8
Conceded
0,0
1,6
Goal diff per game
+3,0
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

62% Possession 38%
14 Shots 5
6 Shots on target 5
4 Blocked shots 0
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 1
3 Offside 2
3 Free kicks against 15
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

21. Aug -25 Polessya – Fiorentina 0–3

Match report

Fiorentina Polessya
2′
⚽ O. Nazarenko 0–1
B. Mykhaylichenko
14′
⚽ O. Andriyevski 0–2
45′
🟨 Talles Costa
Half-time 0–2
46′
🔁 A. Gudmundsson
↦ C. Ndour
46′
🔁 R. Gosens
↦ F. Parisi
B. Lednev 🔁
↦ Talles Costa
56′
65′
🔁 M. Pongracic
↦ P. Comuzzo
65′
🔁 S. Sohm
↦ R. Mandragora
M. Gayduchyk 🔁
↦ O. Filippov
68′
1–2 Dodo ⚽
R. Gosens
79′
Y. Karaman 🔁
↦ R. Babenko
81′
A. Goncalves 🔁
↦ O. Nazarenko
81′
S. Korniychuk 🔁
↦ M. Kravchenko
81′
84′
🟨 Yaroslav Karaman
85′
🔁 L. Ranieri
↦ M. Viti
2–2 L. Ranieri ⚽
R. Gosens
86′
3–2 E. Dzeko ⚽
89′
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Fiorentina

3-4-2-1
1 O. Kudryk
4 M. Kravchenko
44 S. Chobotenko
5 E. Sarapiy
15 B. Mykhaylichenko
6 Talles Costa
8 R. Babenko
18 O. Andriyevski
11 O. Gutsulyak
9 O. Filippov
7 O. Nazarenko
Bench (10)
23 Y. Volynets
99 V. Uliganets
13 D. Beskorovaynyi
30 B. Lednev
34 Joao Vialle
38 Y. Karaman
40 A. Goncalves
50 Y. Mykytyuk
58 S. Korniychuk
89 M. Gayduchyk

Coach: Stefano Pioli

Polessya

4-3-3
43 D. de Gea
15 P. Comuzzo
18 P. Mari
26 M. Viti
2 Dodo
44 N. Fagioli
8 R. Mandragora
65 F. Parisi
22 J. Fazzini
9 E. Dzeko
27 C. Ndour
Bench (12)
1 L. Lezzerini
30 T. Martinelli
5 M. Pongracic
6 L. Ranieri
7 S. Sohm
10 A. Gudmundsson
11 A. Sabiri
21 R. Gosens
24 A. Richardson
29 N. Fortini
60 E. Kouadio
61 R. Braschi

Coach: Ruslan Rotan

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Ricardo De Burgos Bengoetxea · 116 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.