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Eliteserien

Valerenga

S U S S

1–2

Full-time

Aalesund

T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valerenga Aalesund

Last 6 — all competitions · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 38%

75%

Points per game

2,5

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 63%

75%

50%

Average goals

3,3

3,8

Scored

2,3

0,5

Conceded

1,0

3,3

Goal diff per game

+1,3

-2,8

This season — Eliteserien · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 38%

75%

Points per game

2,5

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 63%

75%

50%

Average goals

3,3

3,8

Scored

2,3

0,5

Conceded

1,0

3,3

Goal diff per game

+1,3

-2,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Valerenga 3. · Aalesund 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rosenborg	4	3	1	0	+14	10
2	Molde	5	3	1	1	+7	10
3	Valerenga	4	3	1	0	+5	10
4	Odd	5	3	1	1	+3	10
5	Sarpsborg 08	5	2	2	1	+2	8
6	Stabaek	4	2	1	1	+1	7
7	Sandefjord	4	2	0	2	+1	6
8	Mjondalen	4	1	3	0	+1	6
9	Start	4	1	2	1	+0	5
10	Stromsgodset	5	1	2	2	-3	5
11	Tromso	4	1	1	2	-1	4
12	Lillestrom	4	0	3	1	-2	3
13	Viking	4	1	0	3	-3	3
14	Haugesund	4	0	2	2	-8	2
15	Bodo/Glimt	4	0	1	3	-6	1
16	Aalesund	4	0	1	3	-11	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Molde	3	2	0	1	+5	6
2	Valerenga	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Sandefjord	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Sarpsborg 08	3	1	2	0	+2	5
5	Rosenborg	2	1	1	0	+5	4
6	Odd	2	1	1	0	+2	4
7	Stromsgodset	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Mjondalen	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Stabaek	2	1	1	0	+1	4
10	Start	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Viking	2	1	0	1	-1	3
12	Tromso	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Lillestrom	2	0	1	1	-2	1
14	Aalesund	2	0	1	1	-2	1
15	Haugesund	2	0	1	1	-6	1
16	Bodo/Glimt	2	0	0	2	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rosenborg	2	2	0	0	+9	6
2	Odd	3	2	0	1	+1	6
3	Molde	2	1	1	0	+2	4
4	Valerenga	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Tromso	2	1	0	1	+0	3
6	Stabaek	2	1	0	1	+0	3
7	Sarpsborg 08	2	1	0	1	+0	3
8	Mjondalen	2	0	2	0	+0	2
9	Start	2	0	2	0	+0	2
10	Lillestrom	2	0	2	0	+0	2
11	Bodo/Glimt	2	0	1	1	-2	1
12	Haugesund	2	0	1	1	-2	1
13	Stromsgodset	3	0	1	2	-4	1
14	Sandefjord	2	0	0	2	-2	0
15	Viking	2	0	0	2	-2	0
16	Aalesund	2	0	0	2	-9	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.