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Eliteserien
Referee: Tom Harald Hagen
Aalesund
T T T U S
2–2
Full-time
Valerenga
T S U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aalesund Valerenga
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
2,7
2,2
Scored
1,5
1,2
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,2
This season — Eliteserien · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 25%
25%
25%
Points per game
0,9
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
42%
42%
Both score Ø 30%
42%
17%
Average goals
2,4
2,4
Scored
1,1
1,0
Conceded
1,3
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,4
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

27% Possession 73%
9 Shots 27
2 Shots on target 9
4 Blocked shots 9
6 Goalkeeper saves 0
2 Corners 6
2 Offside 0
11 Free kicks against 10
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Aalesund 12. · Valerenga 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rosenborg 13 10 2 1 +18 32
2 Odd 13 8 3 2 +8 27
3 Molde 13 7 3 3 +5 24
4 Stromsgodset 13 7 2 4 +7 23
5 Viking 13 7 2 4 +2 23
6 Brann 13 7 2 4 +1 23
7 Haugesund 13 6 3 4 +5 21
8 Sarpsborg 08 13 5 4 4 -1 19
9 Lillestrom 13 4 5 4 +3 17
10 Sogndal 13 3 6 4 -1 15
11 Tromso 13 3 4 6 -9 13
12 Aalesund 12 3 2 7 -3 11
13 Bodo/Glimt 13 3 2 8 -6 11
14 Valerenga 12 3 1 8 -5 10
15 Stabaek 13 3 1 9 -7 10
16 Start 13 0 6 7 -17 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Aalesund Valerenga
1–0 E. Gyasi
J. Riise
12′
38′
🟨 Sander Berge
Half-time 1–0
D. Grétarsson 🔁
↦ O. Lie
46′
M. Abdellaoue 🔁
↦ A. Þrándarson
62′
F. Carlsen 🔁
↦ B. Riise
66′
71′
E. Ómarsson 1–1
2–1 E. Gyasi
82′
88′
K. Wæhler 2–2
R. Lundström
92′
🔁 V. Sakor
↦ G. Zahid
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Aalesund

1 A. Lie G
6 J. Riise
5 O. Lie D
23 E. Skagestad
2 M. Kirkeskov D
21 B. Riise M
10 P. Larsen M
11 A. Þrándarson M
18 V. Hoff M
14 E. Gyasi M
7 F. Boli F
Bench (7)
3 D. Grétarsson
30 M. Abdellaoue
8 F. Carlsen
4 T. Mäntylä
15 Marlinho
24 L. Cramer
40 S. Fet

Valerenga

30 A. Falch G
24 K. Wæhler
4 J. Nation D
5 R. Lundström D
6 S. Larsen D
19 C. Grindheim F
14 H. Stengel M
10 G. Zahid M
23 S. Berge M
26 D. Brown F
22 E. Ómarsson F
Bench (6)
16 V. Sakor
1 M. Sandberg
8 J. Arvidsson
18 R. Larsen
21 S. Juklerød
33 A. Nedrebø

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Tom Harald Hagen · 102 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.