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Eliteserien
Aalesund
T S T S T
2–0
Full-time
Valerenga
S T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aalesund Valerenga
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
67%
0%
Both score Ø 34%
67%
0%
Average goals
3,2
1,7
Scored
1,2
0,8
Conceded
2,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,0
This season — Eliteserien · 21/21 matches
Win Ø 43%
33%
52%
Points per game
1,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
67%
48%
Both score Ø 62%
71%
52%
Average goals
3,4
3,0
Scored
1,3
1,7
Conceded
2,1
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Aalesund 10. · Valerenga 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rosenborg 21 16 3 2 +38 51
2 Stabaek 21 13 5 3 +16 44
3 Viking 21 12 1 8 +13 37
4 Valerenga 21 11 3 7 +8 36
5 Odd 21 9 8 4 +10 35
6 Stromsgodset 20 10 3 7 +6 33
7 Molde 20 8 6 6 +17 30
8 Bodo/Glimt 21 9 2 10 -3 29
9 Lillestrom 21 7 7 7 -4 28
10 Aalesund 21 7 4 10 -16 25
11 Haugesund 21 6 6 9 -11 24
12 Sarpsborg 08 21 5 8 8 -5 23
13 Start 21 5 4 12 -14 19
14 Mjondalen 21 4 7 10 -17 19
15 Tromso 21 4 5 12 -13 17
16 Sandefjord 21 3 4 14 -25 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

30. Apr -15 Valerenga – Aalesund 1–2

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.