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Champions League
Referee: D Higler
FC Astana
T T U S T
0–2
Full-time
Dinamo Zagreb
T U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

FC Astana Dinamo Zagreb
Last 6 — all competitions · 5/6 matches
Win Ø 19%
20%
17%
Points per game
0,8
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
60%
67%
Both score Ø 45%
40%
50%
Average goals
3,0
3,0
Scored
0,6
1,2
Conceded
2,4
1,8
Goal diff per game
-1,8
-0,7
This season — Champions League · 3/1 matches
Win Ø 67%
33%
100%
Points per game
1,3
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
67%
100%
Both score Ø 34%
67%
0%
Average goals
3,0
4,0
Scored
1,0
4,0
Conceded
2,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+4,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

8 Corners 4
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

FC Astana Dinamo Zagreb
24′
A. Marochkin 1–0
own goal
T. Dosmagambetov 🔁
↦ A. Amanović
41′
Half-time 1–0
D. Jovančić 🔁
↦ M. Tomasov
46′
D. Darboe 🔁
↦ V. Prokopenko
46′
Marin Tomasov 🟨
47′
67′
🔁 M. Bernauer
↦ J. Šutalo
68′
🔁 A. Marin
↦ B. Petković
E. Astanov 🔁
↦ A. Aymbetov
69′
78′
🔁 M. Baturina
↦ R. Ljubičić
79′
🔁 J. Drmić
↦ M. Emreli
79′
🔁 L. Lukanić
↦ J. Mišić
89′
A. Marin 1–1
92′
🟨 Dario Špikić
Dušan Jovančić 🟨
95′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

FC Astana

5-3-2
93 J. Čondrić G
13 K. Hovhannisyan D
22 A. Marochkin D
33 Ž. Tomašević D
45 A. Amanović D
6 Y. Vorogovskiy D
10 M. Tomasov M
44 S. Lončar M
7 M. Ebong M
20 V. Prokopenko F
17 A. Aymbetov F
Bench (12)
27 T. Dosmagambetov
29 D. Jovančić
88 D. Darboe
21 E. Astanov
23 F. Ourega
15 A. Beisebekov
31 D. Podymskiy
97 N. Zhaksylyk
55 A. Zarutskiy
8 I. Kuat
11 A. Darabayev
72 S. Basmanov

Coach: G. Babayan

Dinamo Zagreb

4-3-3
40 D. Livaković G
2 S. Moharrami D
13 S. Ristovski D
37 J. Šutalo D
15 B. Mykhailichenko D
25 P. Sučić M
27 J. Mišić M
14 R. Ljubičić M
11 M. Emreli F
9 B. Petković F
77 D. Špikić M
Bench (12)
6 M. Bernauer
20 A. Marin
10 M. Baturina
18 J. Drmić
42 L. Lukanić
1 D. Zagorac
7 L. Ivanušec
8 A. Krdžalić
4 B. Šutalo
33 I. Nevistić
39 M. Perković
55 D. Perić

Coach: I. Bišćan

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

D Higler · 133 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.