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Conference League
Referee: P Farrugia
2–1
Full-time
HJK Helsinki
U S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Farul Constanta HJK Helsinki
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
83%
33%
Points per game
2,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
3,2
2,3
Scored
2,0
1,0
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

4 Shots 1
2 Corners 1
12 Free kicks against 8
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Farul Constanta HJK Helsinki
Ionuț Larie 🟨
35′
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 Kristopher Da Graca
↦ A. Halme
47′
🟨 Santeri Hostikka
50′
J. Toivio 0–1
D. Dussaut 🔁
↦ D. Sîrbu
58′
L. Munteanu 🔁
↦ A. Mazilu
58′
1–1 Rivaldinho
58′
67′
🔁 P. Hetemaj
↦ T. Keskinen
67′
🔁 H. Bandé
↦ S. Hostikka
Louis Munteanu 🟨
69′
L. Andronache 🔁
↦ Rivaldinho
81′
M. Popescu 🔁
↦ D. Nedelcu
81′
2–1 M. Popescu
82′
85′
🔁 N. Hämäläinen
↦ T. Ollila
85′
🔁 A. Tanaka
↦ G. Kanellópoulos
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Farul Constanta

4-3-3
12 M. Aioani G
22 D. Sîrbu D
17 I. Larie D
21 K. Boli M
25 D. Kiki D
18 A. Artean D
16 D. Nedelcu M
6 T. Băluță M
26 A. Mazilu F
7 Rivaldinho F
10 C. Budescu M
Bench (12)
99 D. Dussaut
9 L. Munteanu
19 L. Andronache
3 M. Popescu
24 C. Grameni
1 A. Buzbuchi
13 Fábio Vianna
8 I. Vînă
23 N. Cârnat
45 Gustavo Marins
5 Diogo Queirós
77 E. Sali

Coach: G. Hagi

HJK Helsinki

3-4-3
85 N. Mäenpää G
4 J. Toivio M
15 M. Tenho M
6 A. Halme D
23 P. Soiri D
14 M. Peltola D
24 G. Kanellópoulos M
2 T. Ollila M
7 S. Hostikka F
9 B. Radulović F
18 T. Keskinen M
Bench (9)
5 Kristopher Da Graca
56 P. Hetemaj
17 H. Bandé
3 N. Hämäläinen
37 A. Tanaka
11 R. Riski
29 A. Olusanya
1 J. Öst
78 A. Ramula

Coach: T. Korkeakunnas

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

P Farrugia · 10 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
12,1 / match
Below average

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.