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League Cup

Referee: Ruebyn Ricardo

Man City

S S S S S

5–0

Full-time

Norwich

S T S S T

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Man City Norwich

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 75%

83%

67%

Points per game

2,5

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

2,5

3,8

Scored

1,8

2,3

Conceded

0,7

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,2

+0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

63% Possession 37%

14 Shots 4

6 Shots on target 0

3 Blocked shots 2

0 Goalkeeper saves 1

2 Corners 3

1 Offside 2

8 Free kicks against 6

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Fleetwood Town	3	3	0	0	+6	+0.2	9
2	Peterborough	3	2	1	0	+5	–	7
3	Bradford	3	2	1	0	+4	+0.7	7
4	Brentford	2	2	0	0	+6	+1.5	6
5	Chelsea	2	2	0	0	+5	+2.7	6
6	Everton	2	2	0	0	+5	–	6
7	West Ham	3	2	0	1	+4	–	6
8	Norwich	2	2	0	0	+4	–	6
9	Fulham	2	2	0	0	+4	+3.8	6
10	Wolves	3	2	0	1	+4	–	6
11	Sheffield United	3	2	0	1	+3	–	6
12	Newcastle	2	2	0	0	+2	–	6
13	Lincoln	3	2	0	1	+0	–	6
14	Middlesbrough	3	2	0	1	+0	–	6
15	Barnsley	3	1	2	0	+1	–	5
16	Reading	3	1	1	1	+2	+0.3	4
17	Stoke	2	1	1	0	+2	-1.0	4
18	Walsall	2	1	1	0	+1	–	4
19	Leyton Orient	3	1	1	1	+0	-1.0	4
20	Millwall	3	1	1	1	+0	+1.4	4
21	Bournemouth	1	1	0	0	+4	–	3
22	Crystal Palace	1	1	0	0	+3	–	3
23	Tottenham	2	1	0	1	+2	+1.8	3
24	West Brom	2	1	0	1	+2	–	3
25	Arsenal	1	1	0	0	+2	–	3
26	Liverpool	1	1	0	0	+2	–	3
27	Aston Villa	1	1	0	0	+2	–	3
28	Brighton	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
29	Luton	2	1	0	1	+1	-2.7	3
30	Crawley Town	2	1	0	1	+1	–	3
31	Sunderland	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.2	3
32	Ipswich	2	1	0	1	+0	–	3
33	Coventry	2	1	0	1	+0	–	3
34	Crewe	2	1	0	1	+0	–	3
35	Cardiff	2	1	0	1	+0	–	3
36	Plymouth	2	1	0	1	+0	–	3
37	Blackburn	2	1	0	1	+0	–	3
38	Cambridge United	2	1	0	1	+0	-1.4	3
39	Leeds	2	1	0	1	-1	+1.5	3
40	Blackpool	2	1	0	1	-1	–	3
41	Southampton	2	1	0	1	-1	–	3
42	Leicester	2	1	0	1	-1	–	3
43	Sheffield Weds	2	1	0	1	-1	–	3
44	Charlton	2	1	0	1	-2	-1.8	3
45	Stevenage	2	1	0	1	-2	-0.3	3
46	Watford	2	1	0	1	-3	–	3
47	Birmingham	2	1	0	1	-4	-1.5	3
48	Burnley	2	0	2	0	+0	+0.3	2
49	Tranmere	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
50	Notts County	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
51	Wigan	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
52	Huddersfield	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
53	QPR	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
54	Bromley	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
55	Salford City	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
56	Stockport County	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
57	Newport County	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
58	Hull	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.8	1
59	Rochdale	2	0	1	1	-2	–	1
60	Doncaster	2	0	1	1	-2	–	1
61	AFC Wimbledon	2	0	1	1	-3	-3.8	1
62	Preston	2	0	1	1	-4	–	1
63	Shrewsbury	2	0	1	1	-4	-0.2	1
64	Man United	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
65	Swindon Town	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
66	Derby	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
67	Wycombe	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
68	Burton Albion	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
69	Accrington ST	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
70	Barnet	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
71	Northampton	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
72	Wrexham	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
73	Bolton	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
74	Swansea	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
75	Bristol City	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
76	Bristol Rovers	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
77	Chesterfield	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
78	Portsmouth	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
79	Grimsby	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
80	Cheltenham	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
81	Nott'm Forest	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.5	0
82	Oldham	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
83	Exeter City	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
84	York	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
85	Oxford	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
86	Colchester	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
87	Milton Keynes Dons	1	0	0	1	-3	–	0
88	Rotherham	1	0	0	1	-3	–	0
89	Port Vale	1	0	0	1	-3	–	0
90	Mansfield Town	1	0	0	1	-3	–	0
91	Gillingham	1	0	0	1	-3	–	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Fleetwood Town	3	3	0	0	+6	+0.2	9
2	Chelsea	2	2	0	0	+5	+2.7	6
3	Stoke	2	1	1	0	+2	-1.0	4
4	Bradford	2	1	1	0	+2	-0.3	4
5	Barnsley	2	1	1	0	+1	–	4
6	Tottenham	1	1	0	0	+4	+1.8	3
7	Bournemouth	1	1	0	0	+4	–	3
8	Norwich	1	1	0	0	+3	–	3
9	Crystal Palace	1	1	0	0	+3	–	3
10	Wolves	1	1	0	0	+3	–	3
11	Fulham	1	1	0	0	+3	+3.8	3
12	Liverpool	1	1	0	0	+2	–	3
13	West Ham	2	1	0	1	+1	–	3
14	Newcastle	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
15	Crewe	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
16	Everton	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
17	Leicester	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
18	Sunderland	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.2	3
19	Middlesbrough	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
20	Ipswich	2	1	0	1	+0	–	3
21	Cardiff	2	1	0	1	+0	–	3
22	Plymouth	2	1	0	1	+0	–	3
23	Leyton Orient	2	1	0	1	+0	-1.0	3
24	Cambridge United	2	1	0	1	+0	-1.4	3
25	Sheffield Weds	2	1	0	1	-1	–	3
26	Watford	2	1	0	1	-3	–	3
27	Peterborough	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
28	Tranmere	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
29	Burnley	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
30	QPR	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
31	Bromley	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
32	Salford City	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
33	Stockport County	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
34	AFC Wimbledon	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
35	Walsall	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
36	Preston	2	0	1	1	-4	–	1
37	Man United	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
38	Blackburn	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
39	Reading	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
40	Derby	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
41	Wycombe	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
42	Burton Albion	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
43	Millwall	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
44	Swansea	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
45	Bristol City	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
46	Bristol Rovers	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
47	Coventry	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
48	Doncaster	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
49	Grimsby	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
50	Cheltenham	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
51	Nott'm Forest	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.5	0
52	York	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
53	Colchester	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
54	Southampton	1	0	0	1	-3	–	0
55	Rotherham	1	0	0	1	-3	–	0
56	Blackpool	1	0	0	1	-3	–	0
57	Mansfield Town	1	0	0	1	-3	–	0
58	Stevenage	1	0	0	1	-3	-0.3	0
59	Gillingham	1	0	0	1	-3	–	0
60	Birmingham	1	0	0	1	-5	-1.5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Brentford	2	2	0	0	+6	+1.5	6
2	Peterborough	2	2	0	0	+5	–	6
3	Sheffield United	3	2	0	1	+3	–	6
4	Lincoln	3	2	0	1	+0	–	6
5	Reading	2	1	1	0	+3	+0.3	4
6	Millwall	2	1	1	0	+1	+1.4	4
7	Everton	1	1	0	0	+4	–	3
8	West Ham	1	1	0	0	+3	–	3
9	West Brom	2	1	0	1	+2	–	3
10	Arsenal	1	1	0	0	+2	–	3
11	Coventry	1	1	0	0	+2	–	3
12	Aston Villa	1	1	0	0	+2	–	3
13	Bradford	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.0	3
14	Blackpool	1	1	0	0	+2	–	3
15	Southampton	1	1	0	0	+2	–	3
16	Fulham	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
17	Brighton	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
18	Luton	2	1	0	1	+1	-2.7	3
19	Wolves	2	1	0	1	+1	–	3
20	Crawley Town	2	1	0	1	+1	–	3
21	Norwich	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
22	Stevenage	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
23	Blackburn	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
24	Newcastle	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
25	Birmingham	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
26	Walsall	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
27	Leeds	2	1	0	1	-1	+1.5	3
28	Middlesbrough	2	1	0	1	-1	–	3
29	Charlton	2	1	0	1	-2	-1.8	3
30	Barnsley	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
31	Notts County	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
32	Wigan	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
33	Huddersfield	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
34	Doncaster	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
35	Newport County	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
36	Burnley	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.3	1
37	Leyton Orient	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
38	Hull	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.8	1
39	Rochdale	2	0	1	1	-2	–	1
40	Shrewsbury	2	0	1	1	-4	-0.2	1
41	Crewe	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
42	Swindon Town	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
43	Accrington ST	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
44	Barnet	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
45	Northampton	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
46	Wrexham	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
47	Bolton	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
48	Chesterfield	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
49	Tottenham	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
50	Portsmouth	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
51	Leicester	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
52	Oldham	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
53	Exeter City	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
54	Oxford	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
55	Milton Keynes Dons	1	0	0	1	-3	–	0
56	Port Vale	1	0	0	1	-3	–	0
57	AFC Wimbledon	1	0	0	1	-3	-3.8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.