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Europa League
Referee: Andrea Colombo
Besiktas
T T S S S
4–1
Full-time
Marseille
S S T T T
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Besiktas Marseille
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
3,2
2,8
Scored
2,3
1,7
Conceded
0,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

54% Possession 46%
18 Shots 14
7 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 3
1 Offside 0
10 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Besiktas Marseille
Emmanuel Agbadou 🟨
10′
1–0 Ilhan Fakili
Junior Olaitan
15′
29′
Keyliane Abdallah 1–1
Himad Abdelli
Tiago Djaló 🔁
↦ Emmanuel Agbadou
45′
Half-time 2–1
2–1 Václav Černý
Orkun Kökçü
56′
58′
🔁 Emerson Palmieri
↦ Ulisses Garcia
58′
🔁 Igor Paixão
↦ Angel Gomes
3–1 Amir Murillo
Orkun Kökçü
59′
67′
🔁 Amine Gouiri
↦ Neal Maupay
67′
🔁 Nayef Aguerd
↦ Derek Cornelius
Ernest Poku 🔁
↦ Václav Černý
71′
Wilfred Ndidi 🔁
↦ Orkun Kökçü
71′
72′
🟨 Amine Harit
4–1 Ernest Poku
Junior Olaitan
81′
82′
🔁 Tadjidine Mmadi
↦ Keyliane Abdallah
Oh Hyeon-gyu 🔁
↦ Junior Olaitan
82′
Fabio Miretti 🔁
↦ Ilhan Fakili
82′
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

Besiktas

4-1-4-1
1 A. Nübel G
62 A. Murillo D
12 E. Agbadou D
53 E. Topçu D
11 K. Ouattara D
6 S. Özcan M
18 V. Černý M
15 J. Olaitan M
10 O. Kökçü M
29 I. Fakili M
28 D. Vlahović F
Bench (12)
80 D. Alemdar
22 Taylan Bulut
35 Tiago Djaló
90 S. Kılıçsoy
21 F. Miretti
4 W. Ndidi
9 Oh Hyeon-Gyu
17 E. Poku
33 R. Yılmaz
8 K. Yılmaz
58 Y. Özcan
50 Ü. Akdağ

Coach: V. Italiano

Marseille

4-3-3
12 J. de Lange G
22 T. Weah D
25 U. Garcia D
13 D. Cornelius D
4 C. Egan-Riley D
23 P. Højbjerg M
8 H. Abdelli M
7 A. Gomes M
48 K. Abdallah F
77 A. Harit F
11 N. Maupay F
Bench (12)
42 Nouhoum Kamissoko
9 A. Gouiri
74 K. Bezahaf
14 Igor Paixão
21 N. Aguerd
18 B. Meité
46 E. Mbondo
43 T. Mmadi
33 Emerson
40 J. Van Neck
92 T. Vermot
29 F. Moumbagna

Coach: Bruno Genesio

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,77
U
4,10
B
4,15
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
1,14
U1,5
5,00
O2,5 ✓
1,52
U2,5
2,42
O3,5 ✓
2,38
U3,5
1,60
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
1,52
BLS nei
2,40

Referee

Andrea Colombo · 15 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.