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Europa League
Referee: Chris Kavanagh
Genk
S S U S T
1–0
Full-time
Freiburg
U T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genk Freiburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,8
2,5
Scored
2,5
1,0
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 12/8 matches
Win Ø 61%
58%
63%
Points per game
1,9
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
58%
25%
Both score Ø 48%
58%
38%
Average goals
3,1
1,8
Scored
1,9
1,3
Conceded
1,2
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,00 xG 0,30
50% Possession 50%
17 Shots 5
3 Shots on target 2
6 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 7
2 Offside 2
16 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Genk Freiburg
10′
ℹ️ Johan Manzambi
VAR: Goal cancelled
1–0 Z. El Ouahdi ⚽
B. Heynen
24′
Half-time 1–0
63′
🔁 D. Scherhant
↦ V. Grifo
63′
🔁 C. Irie
↦ J. Beste
71′
🔁 L. Holer
↦ Y. Suzuki
Zakaria El Ouahdi 🟨
74′
Y. Sor 🔁
↦ N. Adedeji-Sternberg
77′
M. Sadick 🔁
↦ J. Kongolo
77′
Y. Medina 🔁
↦ J. Kayembe
77′
80′
🟨 Bruno Ogbus
R. Mirisola 🔁
↦ A. Bibout
83′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Genk

4-1-4-1
26 T. Lawal G
77 Z. El Ouahdi D
44 J. Kongolo D
6 M. Smets D
18 J. Kayembe D
21 I. Bangoura M
20 K. Karetsas M
8 B. Heynen M
38 D. Heymans M
32 N. Adedeji-Sternberg M
23 A. Bibout F
Bench (12)
1 H. Van Crombrugge
27 K. Nkuba
14 Y. Sor
24 N. Sattlberger
29 R. Mirisola
10 J. Ito
3 M. Sadick
99 J. Erabi
7 J. Steuckers
30 A. Yokoyama
34 A. Palacios
19 Y. Medina

Coach: Nicky Hayen

Freiburg

4-2-3-1
1 N. Atubolu G
29 P. Treu D
28 M. Ginter D
43 B. Ogbus D
30 C. Gunter D
6 P. Osterhage M
44 J. Manzambi M
19 J. Beste M
14 Y. Suzuki M
32 V. Grifo M
31 I. Matanovic F
Bench (12)
21 F. Muller
24 J. Huth
27 N. Hofler
17 L. Kubler
9 L. Holer
33 J. Makengo
65 K. Steinmann
5 A. Jung
3 P. Lienhart
7 D. Scherhant
22 C. Irie
69 R. Tarnutzer

Coach: Julian Schuster

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Chris Kavanagh · 136 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
19,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.