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Europa League
Referee: M Al Hakim
Ludogorets
U T T U U
0–2
Full-time
Midtjylland
T S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ludogorets Midtjylland
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,5
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
1,8
2,0
Scored
0,5
0,8
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 8/6 matches
Win Ø 29%
25%
33%
Points per game
1,1
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 36%
38%
33%
Average goals
2,3
2,0
Scored
1,1
0,8
Conceded
1,1
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,76 xG 2,29
64% Possession 36%
16 Shots 11
6 Shots on target 6
5 Blocked shots 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 6
8 Corners 3
2 Offside 0
13 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Ludogorets Midtjylland
18′
⚽ D. Osorio 0–1
M. Bech
Jakub Piotrowski 🟨
28′
Olivier Verdon 🟨
43′
Half-time 0–1
46′
🔁 Paulinho
↦ V. Bak Jensen
52′
🟨 Kevin Mbabu
60′
🔁 V. Byskov
↦ D. Osorio
64′
🔁 E. Chilufya
↦ O. Sørensen
64′
🔁 M. Krüger-Johnsen
↦ A. Şimşir
Deroy Duarte 🔁
↦ A. Camara
77′
D. Gropper 🔁
↦ A. Nedyalkov
77′
80′
🟨 Edward Chilufya
85′
🔁 P. Bravo
↦ D. Castillo
F. Gigov 🔁
↦ Caio Vidal
90′
E. Kurtulus 🔁
↦ Dinis Almeida
90′
95′
⚽ V. Byskov 0–2
P. Bravo
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Ludogorets

4-2-3-1
39 H. Bonmann G
17 Son D
24 O. Verdon D
4 Dinis Almeida D
3 A. Nedyalkov D
6 J. Piotrowski M
20 A. Camara M
77 Erick Marcus M
18 I. Chochev M
11 Caio Vidal M
12 Rwan Cruz F
Bench (11)
23 Deroy Duarte
14 D. Gropper
73 F. Gigov
15 E. Kurtulus
1 S. Padt
67 D. Hristov
5 G. Terziev
82 I. Yordanov
72 Rosen Ivanov
80 M. Stefanov
19 G. Rusev

Coach: I. Jovičević

Midtjylland

4-3-3
1 J. Lössl G
43 K. Mbabu D
4 O. Diao D
22 M. Bech D
55 V. Bak Jensen D
21 D. Castillo M
6 J. Andersson M
24 O. Sørensen M
11 D. Osorio F
18 A. Buksa F
58 A. Şimşir F
Bench (12)
29 Paulinho
20 V. Byskov
14 E. Chilufya
41 M. Krüger-Johnsen
19 P. Bravo
17 K. Askildsen
31 L. Selin
15 C. Sørensen
13 A. Gabriel
30 O. Ejeheri
3 Lee Han-Beom
73 Juninho

Coach: T. Thomasberg

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

M Al Hakim · 112 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.