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Europa League
Referee: N Walsh
St. Gilloise
S S T S S
2–1
Full-time
Sp Braga
S T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St. Gilloise Sp Braga
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,2
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,8
3,0
Scored
1,5
1,8
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 6/12 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
33%
75%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
1,7
2,8
Scored
0,8
1,7
Conceded
0,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,84 xG 1,76
56% Possession 44%
6 Shots 8
3 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 0
2 Offside 2
18 Free kicks against 14
7 Yellow cards 5
2 Red cards 2

Recent head-to-head meetings

13. Oct -22 St. Gilloise – Sp Braga 3–3 6. Oct -22 Sp Braga – St. Gilloise 1–2

Match report

St. Gilloise Sp Braga
16′
⚽ A. El Ouazzani 0–1
Bruma
Christian Burgess 🟨
45′
Half-time 0–1
K. Rodríguez 🔁
↦ F. Leysen
46′
46′
🔁 Vitor Carvalho
↦ J. Gorby
1–1 F. Ivanović ⚽
O. Niang
50′
Koki Machida 🟨
66′
M. Rasmussen 🔁
↦ A. Ait El Hadj
68′
Kevin Rodriguez 🟨
73′
73′
🟨 Vítor Carvalho
2–1 F. Ivanović ⚽
K. Rodríguez
74′
79′
🟨 Vítor Carvalho
79′
🟥 Vítor Carvalho
80′
🟨 Ricardo Horta
80′
🟨 Sikou Niakaté
Koki Machida 🟨
82′
Koki Machida 🟥
82′
84′
🔁 Ismaël Gharbi
↦ Paulo Oliveira
84′
🔁 R. Zalazar
↦ Ricardo Horta
85′
🔁 Víctor Gómez
↦ Roger Fernandes
Noah Sadiki 🟨
90′
90′
🟨 Ismael Gharbi
Kamiel Van De Perre 🟨
95′
Christian Burgess 🟨
96′
Christian Burgess 🟥
96′
96′
🟥 Bruma
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

St. Gilloise

3-5-2
49 A. Moris G
26 R. Sykes D
16 C. Burgess D
48 F. Leysen D
22 O. Niang M
10 A. Ait El Hadj M
6 K. Van de Perre M
27 N. Sadiki M
28 K. Machida M
9 F. Ivanović F
77 M. Fuseini F
Bench (7)
13 K. Rodríguez
4 M. Rasmussen
32 M. Asri
1 V. Chambaere
33 S. Berradi
74 D. Tshilanda
14 J. Imbrechts

Coach: S. Pocognoli

Sp Braga

3-4-2-1
91 L. Horníček G
3 Robson Bambu D
15 Paulo Oliveira D
4 S. Niakaté D
11 Roger Fernandes M
8 João Moutinho M
29 J. Gorby
77 Gabri Martínez M
21 Ricardo Horta F
7 Bruma F
9 A. El Ouazzani F
Bench (12)
6 Vitor Carvalho
20 Ismaël Gharbi
16 R. Zalazar
2 Víctor Gómez
26 B. Arrey-Mbi
25 Yuri Ribeiro
10 André Horta
19 Adrián Marín
12 Tiago Sá
92 Rodrigo Macedo
53 Jonatás Noro
50 Diego Rodrigues

Coach: Carlos Carvalhal

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

N Walsh · 171 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.