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Europa League
Referee: S Stegemann
Malmo FF
T S T S U
2–3
Full-time
Twente
S S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Malmo FF Twente
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
100%
67%
Both score Ø 84%
100%
67%
Average goals
4,3
3,7
Scored
2,2
2,2
Conceded
2,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
0,7
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
67%
17%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,0
1,8
Scored
1,0
0,7
Conceded
2,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

0,95 xG 2,10
56% Possession 44%
11 Shots 7
4 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
9 Corners 7
1 Offside 0
18 Free kicks against 17
7 Yellow cards 4
1 Red cards 0

Match report

Malmo FF Twente
Colin Rösler 🟨
2′
9′
🟨 Daan Rots
13′
🟨 Sayfallah Ltaief
28′
⚽ S. Steijn 0–1
1–1 L. Berg Johnsen ⚽
32′
Oliver Berg 🟨
44′
Half-time 1–1
58′
ℹ️ Michal Sadílek
VAR: Penalty confirmed
Busanello 🟨
60′
Otto Rosengren 🟨
60′
61′
⚽ R. van Wolfswinkel 1–2
A. Christiansen 🔁
↦ T. Ali
62′
64′
⚽ G. Lagerbielke 1–3
M. Sadílek
72′
🔁 M. van Bergen
↦ S. Ltaief
73′
🔁 G. Besselink
↦ S. Steijn
Z. Loukili 🔁
↦ O. Berg
77′
S. Rieks 🔁
↦ L. Berg Johnsen
77′
2–3 A. Christiansen ⚽
Z. Loukili
79′
Erik Botheim 🟨
80′
82′
🟨 Mitchell van Bergen
Anders Christiansen 🟨
89′
89′
🔁 A. Van Hoorenbeeck
↦ M. Vlap
95′
🟨 Gijs Besselink
Anders Christiansen 🟨
97′
Anders Christiansen 🟥
97′
Full-time 2–3

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

S Stegemann · 140 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.