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Europa League
Referee: C Turpin
Porto
S S S T T
0–1
Full-time
Olympiakos
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Porto Olympiakos
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
67%
83%
Points per game
2,0
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
2,8
2,3
Scored
2,0
1,7
Conceded
0,8
0,7
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
67%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
3,7
1,3
Scored
2,0
0,8
Conceded
1,7
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,14 xG 0,45
58% Possession 42%
16 Shots 7
2 Shots on target 2
8 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 2
2 Offside 8
10 Free kicks against 18
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Porto Olympiakos
Nehuén Pérez 🟨
23′
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 K. Velde
↦ G. Masouras
Samu Aghehowa 🟨
53′
59′
🟨 Dani García
Gonçalo Borges 🔁
↦ Pepê
59′
Zé Pedro 🔁
↦ João Mário
73′
Fábio Vieira 🔁
↦ Rodrigo Mora
73′
77′
🔁 Costinha
↦ K. Velde
79′
⚽ A. El Kaabi 0–1
C. Mouzakitis
D. Gül 🔁
↦ Samu Aghehowa
80′
D. Namaso 🔁
↦ Francisco Moura
81′
Gonçalo Borges 🟨
85′
89′
🔁 M. Stamenić
↦ Chiquinho
90′
🔁 R. Yaremchuk
↦ A. El Kaabi
95′
ℹ️ Roman Yaremchuk
VAR: Goal cancelled
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Porto

4-2-3-1
99 Diogo Costa G
23 João Mário D
24 N. Pérez D
3 Tiago Djaló D
74 Francisco Moura D
16 Nico González M
22 A. Varela M
11 Pepê M
86 Rodrigo Mora M
13 Galeno M
9 Samu Aghehowa F
Bench (12)
70 Gonçalo Borges
97 Zé Pedro
10 Fábio Vieira
27 D. Gül
19 D. Namaso
12 Z. Sanusi
4 Otávio
6 S. Eustaquio
92 João Teixeira
15 Vasco Sousa
14 Cláudio Ramos
68 André Oliveira

Coach: José Tavares

Olympiakos

4-2-3-1
88 K. Tzolakis G
23 Rodinei D
45 P. Retsos D
16 David Carmo D
3 F. Ortega D
14 Dani García M
96 C. Mouzakitis M
19 G. Masouras M
84 C. Kostoulas M
22 Chiquinho M
9 A. El Kaabi F
Bench (12)
11 K. Velde
20 Costinha
8 M. Stamenić
17 R. Yaremchuk
4 G. Biancone
27 Sérgio Oliveira
99 A. Anagnostopoulos
65 A. Apostolopoulos
5 L. Pirola
1 A. Paschalakis
64 A. Papakanellos
29 T. Bakoulas

Coach: José Luis Mendilibar

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

C Turpin · 184 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.