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Europa League
Referee: J Brooks
Ajax
T S S S U
4–0
Full-time
Besiktas
U S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ajax Besiktas
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
3,2
4,2
Scored
2,3
2,8
Conceded
0,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+1,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 6/2 matches
Win Ø 67%
83%
50%
Points per game
2,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 67%
33%
100%
Average goals
2,5
6,0
Scored
2,0
4,0
Conceded
0,5
2,0
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,23 xG 0,60
47% Possession 53%
17 Shots 6
9 Shots on target 0
3 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 5
4 Corners 6
1 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Ajax Besiktas
Kian Fitz-Jim 🟨
21′
1–0 K. Fitz-Jim ⚽
31′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🟨 Mustafa Hekimoglu
Jorrel Hato 🟨
46′
46′
🔁 C. Immobile
↦ M. Hekimoğlu
51′
🟨 Jean Onana
2–0 M. Godts ⚽
B. Traoré
51′
3–0 K. Taylor ⚽
B. Brobbey
55′
64′
🔁 S. Kılıçsoy
↦ Rafa
64′
🔁 C. Ndour
↦ J. Onana
B. van den Boomen 🔁
↦ K. Taylor
66′
K. Hlynsson 🔁
↦ K. Fitz-Jim
66′
W. Weghorst 🔁
↦ B. Brobbey
70′
C. Rasmussen 🔁
↦ B. Traoré
71′
4–0 M. Godts ⚽
73′
C. Akpom 🔁
↦ M. Godts
81′
82′
🔁 S. Uçan
↦ Al Musrati
84′
🔁 C. Keleş
↦ M. Rashica
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

Ajax

4-3-3
22 R. Pasveer G
2 D. Rensch D
37 J. Šutalo D
15 Y. Baas D
4 J. Hato D
28 K. Fitz-Jim M
6 J. Henderson M
8 K. Taylor M
20 B. Traoré F
9 B. Brobbey F
11 M. Godts F
Bench (12)
21 B. van den Boomen
38 K. Hlynsson
25 W. Weghorst
29 C. Rasmussen
10 C. Akpom
13 A. Kaplan
12 J. Gorter
40 D. Ramaj
49 J. Banel
24 D. Rugani
33 B. Tahirović
5 O. Wijndal

Coach: F. Farioli

Besiktas

4-2-3-1
34 M. Günok G
2 J. Svensson D
3 Gabriel Paulista D
14 F. Uduokhai D
26 A. Masuaku D
71 J. Onana M
6 Al Musrati M
7 M. Rashica M
83 Gedson Fernandes M
27 Rafa M
91 M. Hekimoğlu F
Bench (12)
17 C. Immobile
9 S. Kılıçsoy
73 C. Ndour
8 S. Uçan
77 C. Keleş
30 E. Destanoğlu
5 T. Sanuç
18 João Mário
53 E. Topçu
4 O. Bulut
23 E. Muçi
22 B. Zaynutdinov

Coach: G. van Bronckhorst

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

J Brooks · 175 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.