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Allsvenskan

Referee: R Sundell

Halmstad

S T T T U

2–2

Full-time

Kalmar

S U U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Halmstad Kalmar

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,7

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,3

3,0

Scored

0,8

1,8

Conceded

1,5

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Allsvenskan · 23/23 matches

Win Ø 28%

30%

26%

Points per game

1,0

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 61%

52%

70%

Both score Ø 57%

43%

70%

Average goals

2,8

3,3

Scored

1,0

1,3

Conceded

1,8

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

0,94 xG 0,97

46% Possession 54%

18 Shots 6

5 Shots on target 3

4 Blocked shots 0

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

5 Corners 1

3 Offside 0

6 Free kicks against 10

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Halmstad 14. · Kalmar 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Malmo FF	24	16	5	3	+38	+22.3	53
2	Djurgarden	24	14	3	7	+10	+2.3	45
3	AIK	24	13	3	8	+1	+1.0	42
4	Hammarby	23	12	5	6	+17	+3.7	41
5	GAIS	24	12	4	8	+4	-4.2	40
6	Mjallby	24	11	6	7	+6	+1.4	39
7	Elfsborg	24	11	5	8	+11	+5.2	38
8	Sirius	23	10	4	9	+4	+2.3	34
9	Hacken	23	9	6	8	+2	-3.7	33
10	Brommapojkarna	24	6	9	9	-7	-2.2	27
11	Norrkoping	23	7	5	11	-17	-5.0	26
12	Varnamo	24	6	6	12	-10	-6.7	24
13	Goteborg	23	5	8	10	-11	-5.8	23
14	Halmstad	23	7	1	15	-17	-7.0	22
15	Kalmar	23	6	3	14	-17	-7.3	21
16	Vasteras SK	23	5	3	15	-14	+3.7	18

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Malmo FF	11	10	0	1	+27	+9.6	30
2	Elfsborg	13	8	3	2	+17	+4.9	27
3	GAIS	13	8	3	2	+10	+0.3	27
4	Mjallby	12	7	4	1	+10	+2.7	25
5	AIK	11	7	1	3	+10	+3.0	22
6	Hammarby	11	6	3	2	+11	+0.7	21
7	Djurgarden	12	6	3	3	+3	-0.4	21
8	Hacken	12	5	3	4	+6	-1.9	18
9	Sirius	12	5	2	5	+5	+4.3	17
10	Norrkoping	11	5	1	5	-5	-2.5	16
11	Halmstad	11	5	0	6	+2	-1.2	15
12	Kalmar	12	3	2	7	-6	-1.3	11
13	Goteborg	12	2	5	5	-7	-4.3	11
14	Brommapojkarna	11	2	5	4	-8	-1.1	11
15	Vasteras SK	12	3	1	8	-7	+3.7	10
16	Varnamo	12	2	2	8	-12	-2.2	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Djurgarden	12	8	0	4	+7	+2.7	24
2	Malmo FF	13	6	5	2	+11	+12.7	23
3	Hammarby	12	6	2	4	+6	+3.0	20
4	AIK	13	6	2	5	-9	-2.0	20
5	Sirius	11	5	2	4	-1	-2.0	17
6	Varnamo	12	4	4	4	+2	-4.5	16
7	Brommapojkarna	13	4	4	5	+1	-1.1	16
8	Hacken	11	4	3	4	-4	-1.8	15
9	Mjallby	12	4	2	6	-4	-1.3	14
10	GAIS	11	4	1	6	-6	-4.5	13
11	Goteborg	11	3	3	5	-4	-1.5	12
12	Elfsborg	11	3	2	6	-6	+0.3	11
13	Kalmar	11	3	1	7	-11	-6.0	10
14	Norrkoping	12	2	4	6	-12	-2.5	10
15	Vasteras SK	11	2	2	7	-7	+0.1	8
16	Halmstad	12	2	1	9	-19	-5.8	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.