← Match Finder
Europa League
Referee: S Marciniak
Roma
T S U S S
2–1
Full-time
Milan
S S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Team trends

Roma Milan
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,8
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
17%
83%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
1,3
3,5
Scored
0,8
2,3
Conceded
0,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 11/5 matches
Win Ø 58%
55%
60%
Points per game
1,9
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
36%
80%
Both score Ø 48%
36%
60%
Average goals
2,4
3,8
Scored
1,7
2,4
Conceded
0,6
1,4
Goal diff per game
+1,1
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

1,40 xG 0,97
36% Possession 64%
6 Shots 20
3 Shots on target 4
0 Blocked shots 10
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
0 Corners 11
0 Offside 1
5 Free kicks against 20
0 Yellow cards 6
1 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

11. Apr -24 Milan – Roma 0–1 14. Jan -24 Milan – Roma 3–1 1. Sep -23 Roma – Milan 1–2 29. Apr -23 Roma – Milan 1–1 8. Jan -23 Milan – Roma 2–2

Match report

Roma Milan
-5′
🟨 Davide Calabria
-5′
🟨 Yacine Adli
1–0 G. Mancini ⚽
12′
2–0 P. Dybala ⚽
22′
T. Abraham 🔁
↦ R. Lukaku
29′
Zeki Çelik 🟥
31′
40′
🔁 L. Jović
↦ I. Bennacer
41′
ℹ️ Ruben Loftus-Cheek
VAR: Penalty cancelled
Diego Llorente 🔁
↦ P. Dybala
43′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🟨 Matteo Gabbia
46′
🔁 T. Reijnders
↦ D. Calabria
46′
🔁 S. Chukwueze
↦ R. Loftus-Cheek
69′
🔁 N. Okafor
↦ C. Pulišić
69′
🔁 A. Florenzi
↦ Y. Musah
77′
🟨 Luka Jović
Angeliño 🔁
↦ L. Pellegrini
82′
Renato Sanches 🔁
↦ E. Bove
82′
85′
⚽ M. Gabbia 2–1
Rafael Leão
89′
🟨 Fikayo Tomori
92′
🟥 Theo Hernández
VAR: Red card cancelled
93′
🟨 Theo Hernández
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Roma

4-3-3
99 M. Svilar G
19 Z. Çelik D
6 C. Smalling D
23 G. Mancini D
37 L. Spinazzola D
7 L. Pellegrini M
16 L. Paredes M
52 E. Bove M
92 S. El Shaarawy F
21 P. Dybala F
90 R. Lukaku F
Bench (12)
9 T. Abraham
14 Diego Llorente
69 Angeliño
20 Renato Sanches
67 João Costa
59 N. Zalewski
63 P. Boer
2 R. Karsdorp
1 Rui Patrício
35 T. Baldanzi
17 S. Azmoun
22 H. Aouar

Coach: D. De Rossi

Milan

4-2-3-1
16 M. Maignan G
2 D. Calabria D
46 M. Gabbia D
23 F. Tomori D
19 T. Hernández D
80 Y. Musah M
4 I. Bennacer M
11 C. Pulišić M
8 R. Loftus-Cheek M
10 Rafael Leão M
9 O. Giroud F
Bench (12)
15 L. Jović
14 T. Reijnders
21 S. Chukwueze
17 N. Okafor
42 A. Florenzi
95 D. Bartesaghi
69 L. Nava
85 K. Zeroli
7 Y. Adli
57 M. Sportiello
38 F. Terracciano
28 M. Thiaw

Coach: S. Pioli

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

S Marciniak · 120 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.