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Europa League
Referee: F Zwayer
Marseille
T T T T T
1–0
Full-time
Benfica
S U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Marseille Benfica
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,5
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,5
Scored
0,8
1,7
Conceded
2,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 11/5 matches
Win Ø 53%
45%
60%
Points per game
1,6
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 71%
82%
60%
Both score Ø 67%
73%
60%
Average goals
3,9
2,2
Scored
2,3
1,4
Conceded
1,6
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,6
+0,6
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,79 xG 1,39
54% Possession 46%
19 Shots 11
5 Shots on target 5
5 Blocked shots 2
5 Goalkeeper saves 4
8 Corners 6
2 Offside 3
14 Free kicks against 19
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

11. Apr -24 Benfica – Marseille 2–1

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

F Zwayer · 152 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.