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Europa League
Referee: José Sánchez
West Ham
T U S T T
1–1
Full-time
Leverkusen
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

West Ham Leverkusen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
17%
100%
Points per game
0,8
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,0
3,3
Scored
1,2
2,8
Conceded
1,8
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+2,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 78%
67%
89%
Points per game
2,0
2,8
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
44%
67%
Both score Ø 45%
33%
56%
Average goals
2,4
3,7
Scored
1,7
2,9
Conceded
0,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,9
+2,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,56 xG 1,10
43% Possession 57%
14 Shots 9
6 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
2 Corners 5
2 Offside 2
19 Free kicks against 15
5 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

11. Apr -24 Leverkusen – West Ham 2–0

Match report

West Ham Leverkusen
5′
🟨 Odilon Kossounou
1–0 M. Antonio
J. Bowen
13′
29′
🔁 E. Tapsoba
↦ O. Kossounou
Michail Antonio 🟨
31′
31′
🟨 Jonathan Tah
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 V. Boniface
↦ P. Schick
46′
🔁 J. Frimpong
↦ N. Tella
A. Ogbonna 🔁
↦ N. Aguerd
47′
68′
🔁 A. Adli
↦ Álex Grimaldo
Jarrod Bowen 🟨
72′
Kurt Zouma 🟨
79′
Vladimír Coufal 🟨
79′
M. Cornet 🔁
↦ E. Álvarez
84′
B. Johnson 🔁
↦ V. Coufal
84′
Tomáš Souček 🟨
85′
85′
🟨 Exequiel Palacios
86′
🟨 Matej Kovar
87′
🔁 R. Andrich
↦ F. Wirtz
89′
J. Frimpong 1–1
J. Stanišić
90′
🟨 Amine Adli
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

West Ham

4-2-3-1
1 Ł. Fabiański G
5 V. Coufal D
4 K. Zouma D
27 N. Aguerd D
3 A. Cresswell D
19 E. Álvarez M
28 T. Souček M
20 J. Bowen M
7 J. Ward-Prowse M
14 M. Kudus M
9 M. Antonio F
Bench (10)
21 A. Ogbonna
17 M. Cornet
2 B. Johnson
55 J. Knightbridge
18 D. Ings
49 J. Anang
42 K. Casey
58 K. Simon-Swyer
45 D. Mubama
61 L. Orford

Coach: D. Moyes

Leverkusen

3-4-2-1
17 M. Kovář G
6 O. Kossounou D
4 J. Tah D
3 P. Hincapié D
2 J. Stanišić M
25 E. Palacios M
34 G. Xhaka M
20 Álex Grimaldo M
19 N. Tella F
10 F. Wirtz F
14 P. Schick F
Bench (11)
12 E. Tapsoba
22 V. Boniface
30 J. Frimpong
21 A. Adli
8 R. Andrich
36 N. Lomb
38 K. Izekor
13 Arthur
32 G. Puerta
7 J. Hofmann
1 L. Hrádecký

Coach: Xabi Alonso

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

José Sánchez · 156 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.