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Europa League
Referee: F Letexier
Atalanta
S T T S U
0–1
Full-time
Liverpool
S S U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Atalanta Liverpool
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,8
3,7
Scored
1,8
1,7
Conceded
1,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,3
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 73%
56%
89%
Both score Ø 62%
56%
67%
Average goals
2,7
4,4
Scored
2,0
3,1
Conceded
0,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+1,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,58 xG 1,58
30% Possession 70%
8 Shots 10
2 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 1
5 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 10
3 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

11. Apr -24 Liverpool – Atalanta 0–3

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

F Letexier · 176 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.