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Eliteserien
Referee: Trygve Kjensli
Aalesund
S S U S T
1–3
Full-time
Sarpsborg 08
U S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aalesund Sarpsborg 08
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 84%
67%
100%
Average goals
3,8
3,3
Scored
2,2
1,8
Conceded
1,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,3
This season — Eliteserien · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
4,0
4,0
Scored
1,0
3,0
Conceded
3,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-2,0
+2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–3

48% Possession 52%
12 Shots 13
5 Shots on target 7
4 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 5
8 Corners 4
1 Offside 7
12 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Aalesund 13. · Sarpsborg 08 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rosenborg 1 1 0 0 +3 3
2 Stabaek 1 1 0 0 +2 3
3 Sarpsborg 08 1 1 0 0 +2 3
4 Stromsgodset 1 1 0 0 +2 3
5 Lillestrom 1 1 0 0 +1 3
6 Valerenga 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Molde 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Tromso 1 0 1 0 +0 1
9 Brann 1 0 1 0 +0 1
10 Sandefjord 1 0 0 1 -1 0
11 Viking 1 0 0 1 -1 0
12 Kristiansund 1 0 0 1 -1 0
13 Aalesund 1 0 0 1 -2 0
14 Sogndal 1 0 0 1 -2 0
15 Haugesund 1 0 0 1 -2 0
16 Odd 1 0 0 1 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Aalesund Sarpsborg 08
9′
P. Mortensen 0–1
A. Trondsen
1–1 F. Carlsen
E. Gyasi
19′
21′
P. Mortensen 1–2
A. Trondsen
23′
🔁 T. Heintz
↦ J. Thomassen
V. Hoff 🔁
↦ A. Arnarson
28′
32′
🟨 Matti Lund Nielsen
Half-time 1–3
46′
J. Jørgensen 1–3
A. Trondsen
51′
🟨 Andreas Albech
55′
🔁 H. Toivomäki
↦ A. Albech
L. Veldwijk 🔁
↦ A. Þrándarson
59′
V. Berisha 🔁
↦ S. Fet
59′
75′
🔁 E. Fejzullahu
↦ J. Lindberg
Vebjørn Hoff 🟨
85′
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Aalesund

4-2-3-1
1 A. Lie G
5 O. Lie D
2 M. Kirkeskov D
6 K. Ramsteijn D
22 A. Arnarson D
21 B. Riise M
8 F. Carlsen M
14 E. Gyasi M
11 A. Þrándarson M
30 M. Abdellaoue F
17 S. Fet M
Bench (7)
18 V. Hoff
10 L. Veldwijk
9 V. Berisha
23 P. Heigre
3 D. Grétarsson
15 Marlinho
38 J. Hatlehol

Coach: T. Fredriksen

Sarpsborg 08

4-4-2
21 A. Kristiansen
11 J. Jørgensen D
16 J. Thomassen D
15 S. Rosted D
2 A. Albech D
8 M. Lund Nielsen M
7 O. Halvorsen M
6 A. Trondsen M
17 K. Zachariassen M
10 J. Lindberg F
69 P. Mortensen F
Bench (7)
14 T. Heintz
3 H. Toivomäki
44 E. Fejzullahu
1 S. Čupić
19 K. Diatta
20 A. Østli
22 J. Tveita

Coach: G. Bakke

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Trygve Kjensli · 72 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.